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Primera Nacional

July 25, 2026 2 weeks from now VS

Match Analysis

San Miguel Acassuso
San Miguel D W D D D W
Acassuso D L L W D W
STRENGTH
EXPECTED GOALS
HEAD TO HEAD
WINS THE GAME
What do these metrics mean?
Strength
Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion
Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target
Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession
Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate
Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential
Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential
Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals
Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head
Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game
Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Head to Head History

Home Team Away Team Score Date
Acassuso San Miguel 0 - 2 June 20, 2026
Acassuso San Miguel 2 - 1 July 1, 2023
San Miguel Acassuso 1 - 1 March 4, 2023
San Miguel Acassuso 2 - 0 August 20, 2022
Acassuso San Miguel 2 - 1 April 24, 2022
Acassuso San Miguel 4 - 1 August 28, 2021

San Miguel Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Jul 5, 26 Away Central Norte 1 - 1 Draw
Jun 20, 26 Away Acassuso 0 - 2 Win
Jun 14, 26 Away Deportivo Madryn 2 - 2 Draw
Jun 6, 26 Home Defensores De Belgrano 0 - 0 Draw
May 31, 26 Away Ciudad de Bolívar 1 - 1 Draw
May 23, 26 Home Almirante Brown 1 - 0 Win

Acassuso Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Jul 5, 26 Away Chaco For Ever 1 - 1 Draw
Jun 20, 26 Home San Miguel 0 - 2 Loss
Jun 14, 26 Away Ferro Carril Oeste 2 - 1 Loss
Jun 6, 26 Home Central Norte 2 - 1 Win
May 31, 26 Away Deportivo Madryn 0 - 0 Draw
May 24, 26 Home Defensores De Belgrano 1 - 0 Win

Primera Nacional Table

Pos Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
21 San Miguel 18 5 9 4 16 19 -3 24
33 Acassuso 18 5 3 10 12 19 -7 18

Predictions

Both Teams To Score - No
This prediction suggests that there is a 56.65% likelihood that only one team is likely to score throughout the entire match.
San Miguel to win or Draw
This prediction indicates that San Miguel has a 42.41% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 33.00 %
Under 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 59.57% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than two goals scored.
Under 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 68.8% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.

Most Likely Scorelines

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