San Miguel vs Ferro Carril Oeste Saturday 11th July 2026 09:00 PM football predictions.

San Miguel Ferro Carril Oeste

San Miguel W D D D W L

Ferro Carril Oeste W W W D W W

STRENGTH

EXPECTED GOALS

HEAD TO HEAD

WINS THE GAME

What do these metrics mean?

Strength: Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion: Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target: Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession: Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate: Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential: Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential: Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals: Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head: Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game: Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Home Team	Away Team	Score	Date
Ferro Carril Oeste	San Miguel	1 - 1	February 21, 2026
Ferro Carril Oeste	San Miguel	0 - 1	September 14, 2025
San Miguel	Ferro Carril Oeste	2 - 0	May 10, 2025
San Miguel	Ferro Carril Oeste	0 - 0	October 12, 2024
Ferro Carril Oeste	San Miguel	1 - 0	May 26, 2024

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jun 20, 26	Away	Acassuso	0 - 2	Win
Jun 14, 26	Away	Deportivo Madryn	2 - 2	Draw
Jun 6, 26	Home	Defensores De Belgrano	0 - 0	Draw
May 31, 26	Away	Ciudad de Bolívar	1 - 1	Draw
May 23, 26	Home	Almirante Brown	1 - 0	Win
May 17, 26	Away	Atletico Mitre	4 - 0	Loss

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jun 21, 26	Home	Deportivo Moron	1 - 0	Win
Jun 14, 26	Home	Acassuso	2 - 1	Win
Jun 7, 26	Away	Chaco For Ever	1 - 2	Win
May 30, 26	Away	Racing Cordoba	0 - 0	Draw
May 24, 26	Home	Central Norte	1 - 0	Win
May 17, 26	Away	Deportivo Madryn	0 - 1	Win

Pos	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
3	Ferro Carril Oeste	18	10	4	4	20	13	+7	34
17	San Miguel	18	5	9	4	16	19	-3	24

This prediction suggests that there is a 61.38% likelihood that only one team is likely to score throughout the entire match.

This prediction indicates that San Miguel will score 0 goals, and Ferro Carril Oeste will score 0 goals in the football match.

This prediction indicates that the football match is poised to end in a draw.

This prediction indicates that there is a 63.61% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than two goals scored.

This prediction indicates that there is a 70.6% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.

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