Primera Nacional
Match Analysis
San Telmo
Deportivo Moron
San Telmo
W
L
L
L
W
D
Deportivo Moron
L
W
D
L
L
W
What do these metrics mean?
- Strength
- Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
- Shot Conversion
- Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Shots on Target
- Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Possession
- Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
- Save Rate
- Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
- Attacking Potential
- Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
- Defensive Potential
- Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
- Expected Goals
- Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
- Head to Head
- Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
- Wins the Game
- Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.
Head to Head History
| Home Team | Away Team | Score | Date |
|---|---|---|---|
| Deportivo Moron | San Telmo | 1 - 0 | April 5, 2026 |
| San Telmo | Deportivo Moron | 1 - 2 | July 19, 2025 |
| Deportivo Moron | San Telmo | 1 - 1 | March 15, 2025 |
| San Telmo | Deportivo Moron | 1 - 1 | July 21, 2024 |
| Deportivo Moron | San Telmo | 1 - 2 | March 3, 2024 |
| Deportivo Moron | San Telmo | 1 - 2 | October 16, 2023 |
San Telmo Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 2, 26 | Home | San Miguel | 1 - 0 | Win |
| Jul 26, 26 | Away | Racing Cordoba | 2 - 1 | Loss |
| Jul 11, 26 | Home | Chaco For Ever | 1 - 3 | Loss |
| Jul 5, 26 | Away | Ferro Carril Oeste | 2 - 1 | Loss |
| Jun 20, 26 | Home | Racing Cordoba | 2 - 0 | Win |
| Jun 14, 26 | Away | Central Norte | 0 - 0 | Draw |
Deportivo Moron Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 2, 26 | Away | Chaco For Ever | 2 - 0 | Loss |
| Jul 26, 26 | Home | Ferro Carril Oeste | 4 - 0 | Win |
| Jul 11, 26 | Home | Deportivo Madryn | 2 - 2 | Draw |
| Jul 4, 26 | Away | Defensores De Belgrano | 2 - 1 | Loss |
| Jun 21, 26 | Away | Ferro Carril Oeste | 1 - 0 | Loss |
| Jun 13, 26 | Away | Ciudad de Bolívar | 1 - 2 | Win |
Primera Nacional Table
| Pos | Team | MP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Deportivo Moron | 22 | 11 | 5 | 6 | 33 | 21 | +12 | 38 |
| 29 | San Telmo | 22 | 5 | 8 | 9 | 18 | 23 | -5 | 23 |
Predictions
Both Teams To Score - No
This prediction suggests that there is a 59.89% likelihood that only one team is likely to score throughout the entire match.Deportivo Moron to win
This prediction indicates that Deportivo Moron has a 49.05% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 28.06 %Under 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 61.44% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than two goals scored.Under 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 65.85% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.Most Likely Scorelines
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