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Serie D logo

Serie D

June 7, 2026 3 weeks, 1 day ago
1 – 0
Full Time

Match Analysis

Santa Catarina Cascavel
Santa Catarina W W W L W L
Cascavel D W L W D L
STRENGTH
EXPECTED GOALS
WINS THE GAME
What do these metrics mean?
Strength
Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion
Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target
Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession
Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate
Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential
Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential
Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals
Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head
Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game
Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Head to Head History

Home Team Away Team Score Date
Cascavel Santa Catarina 1 - 0 April 5, 2026

Santa Catarina Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
May 31, 26 Away Cianorte 1 - 3 Win
May 23, 26 Home São Luiz 1 - 0 Win
May 16, 26 Home Joinville 1 - 0 Win
May 10, 26 Away Guarany de Bagé 1 - 0 Loss
May 2, 26 Home Guarany de Bagé 3 - 0 Win
Apr 25, 26 Away Joinville 2 - 1 Loss

Cascavel Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
May 31, 26 Home São Luiz 0 - 0 Draw
May 24, 26 Away Guarany de Bagé 0 - 4 Win
May 17, 26 Away Cianorte 1 - 0 Loss
May 10, 26 Home Joinville 1 - 0 Win
May 2, 26 Away Joinville 1 - 1 Draw
Apr 26, 26 Home Cianorte 0 - 1 Loss

Serie D Table

Pos Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
19 Santa Catarina 9 5 1 3 14 9 +5 16
26 Cascavel 9 4 3 2 9 3 +6 15

Predictions

Match Result (1X2) - Draw
This prediction indicates that the football match is poised to end in a draw.

Correct Prediction! ✅

Under 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 58.04% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.

Most Likely Scorelines

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