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Serie C

Sept. 7, 2026 3 days, 18 hours from now VS

Match Analysis

Santa Cruz Botafogo PB
Santa Cruz D W L D L W
Botafogo PB W W D D W W
STRENGTH
EXPECTED GOALS
HEAD TO HEAD
WINS THE GAME
What do these metrics mean?
Strength
Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion
Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target
Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession
Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate
Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential
Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential
Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals
Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head
Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game
Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Head to Head History

Home Team Away Team Score Date
Botafogo PB Santa Cruz 2 - 2 August 8, 2026
Santa Cruz Botafogo PB 2 - 1 January 7, 2023
Santa Cruz Botafogo PB 1 - 1 September 25, 2021
Botafogo PB Santa Cruz 1 - 0 July 24, 2021
Santa Cruz Botafogo PB 0 - 1 April 10, 2021
Santa Cruz Botafogo PB 1 - 0 October 25, 2020

Santa Cruz Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Aug 29, 26 Away Anápolis 1 - 1 Draw
Aug 22, 26 Home Caxias 2 - 0 Win
Aug 15, 26 Home Maranhão 0 - 1 Loss
Aug 8, 26 Away Botafogo PB 2 - 2 Draw
Jul 25, 26 Home Figueirense 0 - 1 Loss
Jul 12, 26 Away Barra 1 - 2 Win

Botafogo PB Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Aug 29, 26 Away AO Itabaiana 0 - 2 Win
Aug 22, 26 Home Guarani Campinas 3 - 1 Win
Aug 15, 26 Away Amazonas 0 - 0 Draw
Aug 8, 26 Home Santa Cruz 2 - 2 Draw
Jul 26, 26 Away Caxias 1 - 2 Win
Jul 12, 26 Home Confiança 2 - 0 Win

Serie C Table

Pos Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
2 Botafogo PB 18 9 3 6 26 19 +7 30
5 Santa Cruz 18 8 4 6 19 14 +5 28

Predictions

Both Teams To Score - No
This prediction suggests that there is a 54.81% likelihood that only one team is likely to score throughout the entire match.
Santa Cruz to win or Draw
This prediction indicates that Santa Cruz has a 38.19% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 32.63 %
Under 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 60.61% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than two goals scored.
Under 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 62.71% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.

Most Likely Scorelines

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