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Serie C logo

Serie C

May 31, 2026 4 weeks, 1 day ago
1 – 1
Full Time

Match Analysis

Santa Cruz Ferroviária
Santa Cruz D W W L L L
Ferroviária W W D W D D
STRENGTH
EXPECTED GOALS
WINS THE GAME
What do these metrics mean?
Strength
Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion
Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target
Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession
Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate
Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential
Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential
Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals
Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head
Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game
Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Santa Cruz Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
May 23, 26 Away Maringá 1 - 1 Draw
May 16, 26 Home Volta Redonda 2 - 0 Win
May 11, 26 Away Inter De Limeira 1 - 2 Win
May 2, 26 Away Guarani Campinas 1 - 0 Loss
Apr 26, 26 Home Amazonas 0 - 1 Loss
Apr 18, 26 Away Confiança 1 - 0 Loss

Ferroviária Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
May 24, 26 Away Amazonas 1 - 2 Win
May 17, 26 Home Brusque 1 - 0 Win
May 10, 26 Away Volta Redonda 0 - 0 Draw
May 3, 26 Home Anápolis 1 - 0 Win
Apr 27, 26 Home Guarani Campinas 2 - 2 Draw
Apr 20, 26 Away Floresta 0 - 0 Draw

Serie C Table

Pos Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
10 Ferroviária 8 3 3 2 8 8 0 12
11 Santa Cruz 8 3 2 3 7 6 +1 11

Predictions

Both Teams To Score - No
This prediction suggests that there is a 58.75% likelihood that only one team is likely to score throughout the entire match.

Correct Prediction! ✅

Santa Cruz to win or Draw
This prediction indicates that Santa Cruz has a 39.09% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 32.89 %
Under 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 53.27% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than two goals scored.

Correct Prediction! ✅

Under 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 60.64% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.

Most Likely Scorelines

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