Serie C
Match Analysis
Santa Cruz
Floresta
Santa Cruz
D
W
L
D
L
W
Floresta
W
W
W
L
D
D
What do these metrics mean?
- Strength
- Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
- Shot Conversion
- Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Shots on Target
- Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Possession
- Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
- Save Rate
- Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
- Attacking Potential
- Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
- Defensive Potential
- Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
- Expected Goals
- Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
- Head to Head
- Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
- Wins the Game
- Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.
Head to Head History
| Home Team | Away Team | Score | Date |
|---|---|---|---|
| Floresta | Santa Cruz | 1 - 1 | April 11, 2026 |
| Santa Cruz | Floresta | 3 - 3 | October 20, 2021 |
| Floresta | Santa Cruz | 0 - 2 | August 7, 2021 |
| Santa Cruz | Floresta | 0 - 0 | June 5, 2021 |
Santa Cruz Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 29, 26 | Away | Anápolis | 1 - 1 | Draw |
| Aug 22, 26 | Home | Caxias | 2 - 0 | Win |
| Aug 15, 26 | Home | Maranhão | 0 - 1 | Loss |
| Aug 8, 26 | Away | Botafogo PB | 2 - 2 | Draw |
| Jul 25, 26 | Home | Figueirense | 0 - 1 | Loss |
| Jul 12, 26 | Away | Barra | 1 - 2 | Win |
Floresta Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 29, 26 | Home | Ituano | 2 - 0 | Win |
| Aug 22, 26 | Away | Volta Redonda | 1 - 2 | Win |
| Aug 16, 26 | Home | Anápolis | 1 - 0 | Win |
| Aug 9, 26 | Away | Ypiranga-RS | 4 - 1 | Loss |
| Jul 27, 26 | Home | Maringá | 1 - 1 | Draw |
| Jul 11, 26 | Away | Caxias | 0 - 0 | Draw |
Serie C Table
| Pos | Team | MP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Floresta | 19 | 8 | 6 | 5 | 22 | 20 | +2 | 30 |
| 7 | Santa Cruz | 19 | 8 | 5 | 6 | 20 | 15 | +5 | 29 |
Predictions
Both Teams To Score - No
This prediction suggests that there is a 59.29% likelihood that only one team is likely to score throughout the entire match.Santa Cruz to win or Draw
This prediction indicates that Santa Cruz has a 42.1% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 34.95 %Under 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 64.98% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than two goals scored.Under 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 69.73% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.Most Likely Scorelines
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