Santa Cruz vs Ituano Sunday 05th July 2026 03:00 AM football predictions.

Santa Cruz Ituano

Santa Cruz W L W D D W

Ituano D D L W W W

STRENGTH

EXPECTED GOALS

WINS THE GAME

What do these metrics mean?

Strength: Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion: Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target: Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession: Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate: Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential: Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential: Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals: Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head: Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game: Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Home Team	Away Team	Score	Date
Santa Cruz	Ituano	1 - 1	January 3, 2021
Ituano	Santa Cruz	1 - 2	December 26, 2020

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jun 27, 26	Away	Paysandu	1 - 3	Win
Jun 20, 26	Home	Ypiranga-RS	0 - 1	Loss
Jun 14, 26	Away	Brusque	0 - 1	Win
May 31, 26	Home	Ferroviária	1 - 1	Draw
May 23, 26	Away	Maringá	1 - 1	Draw
May 16, 26	Home	Volta Redonda	2 - 0	Win

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jun 20, 26	Home	Figueirense	0 - 0	Draw
Jun 14, 26	Away	AO Itabaiana	2 - 2	Draw
May 30, 26	Away	Caxias	2 - 1	Loss
May 25, 26	Home	Botafogo PB	1 - 0	Win
May 17, 26	Away	Guarani Campinas	1 - 3	Win
May 10, 26	Home	Confiança	1 - 0	Win

Pos	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
6	Ituano	11	5	3	3	15	12	+3	18
7	Santa Cruz	12	5	3	4	12	9	+3	18

This prediction suggests that there is a 56.66% likelihood that only one team is likely to score throughout the entire match.

This prediction indicates that Santa Cruz will score 0 goals, and Ituano will score 0 goals in the football match.

This prediction indicates that the football match is poised to end in a draw.

This prediction indicates that there is a 59.82% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than two goals scored.

This prediction indicates that there is a 63.96% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.

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