Santa Cruz vs Maranhão Sunday 16th August 2026 01:30 AM football predictions.

Santa Cruz Maranhão

Santa Cruz L W W W L W

Maranhão D W L D L D

STRENGTH

EXPECTED GOALS

WINS THE GAME

What do these metrics mean?

Strength: Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion: Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target: Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession: Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate: Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential: Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential: Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals: Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head: Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game: Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Home Team	Away Team	Score	Date
Santa Cruz	Maranhão	0 - 0	September 20, 2025
Maranhão	Santa Cruz	0 - 1	September 14, 2025

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jul 25, 26	Home	Figueirense	0 - 1	Loss
Jul 12, 26	Away	Barra	1 - 2	Win
Jul 4, 26	Home	Ituano	1 - 0	Win
Jun 27, 26	Away	Paysandu	1 - 3	Win
Jun 20, 26	Home	Ypiranga-RS	0 - 1	Loss
Jun 14, 26	Away	Brusque	0 - 1	Win

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jul 25, 26	Away	Ferroviária	0 - 0	Draw
Jul 12, 26	Home	Ypiranga-RS	2 - 1	Win
Jul 4, 26	Home	Inter De Limeira	0 - 1	Loss
Jun 28, 26	Away	Ituano	0 - 0	Draw
Jun 21, 26	Home	Paysandu	0 - 1	Loss
Jun 15, 26	Away	Maringá	0 - 0	Draw

Pos	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
4	Santa Cruz	15	7	3	5	15	11	+4	24
15	Maranhão	15	4	6	5	11	14	-3	18

This prediction suggests that there is a 56.52% likelihood that only one team is likely to score throughout the entire match.

This prediction indicates that Santa Cruz has a 45.0% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 33.26 %

This prediction indicates that there is a 60.47% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than two goals scored.

This prediction indicates that there is a 67.09% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.

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