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Paulista Série B logo

Paulista Série B

June 20, 2026 1 week, 2 days ago
1 – 1
Full Time

Match Analysis

Santacruzense Sao Carlos
Santacruzense L W L W D W
Sao Carlos W D W L D L
STRENGTH
EXPECTED GOALS
WINS THE GAME
What do these metrics mean?
Strength
Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion
Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target
Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession
Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate
Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential
Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential
Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals
Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head
Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game
Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Head to Head History

Home Team Away Team Score Date
Sao Carlos Santacruzense 1 - 1 May 16, 2026

Santacruzense Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Jun 13, 26 Away Mogi Mirim 1 - 0 Loss
Jun 7, 26 Away Independente SP 0 - 1 Win
May 31, 26 Home Matonense 1 - 2 Loss
May 24, 26 Away Grêmio Catanduvense 1 - 5 Win
May 16, 26 Away Sao Carlos 1 - 1 Draw
May 10, 26 Home Mogi Mirim 1 - 0 Win

Sao Carlos Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Jun 13, 26 Home Independente SP 2 - 0 Win
Jun 7, 26 Away Matonense 1 - 1 Draw
May 30, 26 Home Grêmio Catanduvense 8 - 0 Win
May 23, 26 Away Mogi Mirim 3 - 1 Loss
May 16, 26 Home Santacruzense 1 - 1 Draw
May 10, 26 Away Independente SP 2 - 1 Loss

Paulista Série B Table

Pos Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
9 Sao Carlos 9 4 2 3 18 10 +8 14
11 Santacruzense 9 4 1 4 18 12 +6 13

Predictions

Correct Prediction! ✅

Both Teams To Score - Yes
This prediction indicates that there is a 56.41% likelihood that both Santacruzense and Sao Carlos will score at least one goal each during the course of the match.
Correct Score 2 - 2
This prediction indicates that Santacruzense will score 2 goals, and Sao Carlos will score 2 goals in the football match.

Correct Prediction! ✅

Match Result (1X2) - Draw
This prediction indicates that the football match is poised to end in a draw.

Correct Prediction! ✅

Over 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 53.72% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be two or more goals scored.
Over 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 55.85% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be three or more goals scored.

Most Likely Scorelines

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