Santiago Wanderers vs D. Puerto Montt Sunday 16th August 2026 07:30 PM football predictions.

Santiago Wanderers D. Puerto Montt

Santiago Wanderers W L D W W W

D. Puerto Montt W D L L L W

STRENGTH

EXPECTED GOALS

WINS THE GAME

What do these metrics mean?

Strength: Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion: Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target: Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession: Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate: Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential: Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential: Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals: Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head: Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game: Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Home Team	Away Team	Score	Date
D. Puerto Montt	Santiago Wanderers	0 - 2	March 28, 2026
D. Puerto Montt	Santiago Wanderers	0 - 2	July 15, 2023
Santiago Wanderers	D. Puerto Montt	3 - 1	February 26, 2023
D. Puerto Montt	Santiago Wanderers	1 - 1	August 28, 2022
Santiago Wanderers	D. Puerto Montt	2 - 0	April 16, 2022
Santiago Wanderers	D. Puerto Montt	1 - 1	August 17, 2019

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jul 25, 26	Home	Union San Felipe	2 - 0	Win
Jun 6, 26	Away	Deportes Copiapo	1 - 0	Loss
May 30, 26	Home	Union Espanola	2 - 2	Draw
May 23, 26	Away	Rangers de Talca	0 - 2	Win
May 16, 26	Away	Curico Unido	0 - 3	Win
May 10, 26	Home	Cobreloa	5 - 1	Win

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jul 26, 26	Home	Antofagasta	3 - 2	Win
Jun 6, 26	Home	Cobreloa	1 - 1	Draw
May 30, 26	Away	Union San Felipe	1 - 0	Loss
May 24, 26	Home	San Marcos de Arica	0 - 2	Loss
May 17, 26	Away	San Luis	4 - 1	Loss
May 9, 26	Home	Magallanes	2 - 0	Win

Pos	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
2	Santiago Wanderers	16	8	5	3	31	18	+13	29
5	D. Puerto Montt	16	8	2	6	20	18	+2	26

This prediction indicates that Santiago Wanderers has a 52.03% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 27.24 %

This prediction indicates that there is a 53.79% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than two goals scored.

This prediction indicates that there is a 52.52% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.

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