Santos Laguna vs Guadalajara Chivas Monday 17th August 2026 04:00 AM football predictions.

Santos Laguna Guadalajara Chivas

Santos Laguna L L L L W W

Guadalajara Chivas D W L D L D

STRENGTH

SHOT CONVERSION

SHOTS ON TARGET

POSSESSION

SAVE RATE

ATTACKING POTENTIAL

DEFENSIVE POTENTIAL

EXPECTED GOALS

HEAD TO HEAD

WINS THE GAME

What do these metrics mean?

Strength: Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion: Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target: Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession: Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate: Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential: Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential: Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals: Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head: Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game: Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Home Team	Away Team	Score	Date
Guadalajara Chivas	Santos Laguna	3 - 0	March 14, 2026
Santos Laguna	Guadalajara Chivas	1 - 0	August 11, 2025
Guadalajara Chivas	Santos Laguna	1 - 0	January 12, 2025
Santos Laguna	Guadalajara Chivas	0 - 2	November 6, 2024
Guadalajara Chivas	Santos Laguna	1 - 1	January 14, 2024
Santos Laguna	Guadalajara Chivas	2 - 1	August 27, 2023

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Aug 2, 26	Away	Club America	3 - 0	Loss
Jul 26, 26	Home	Atlas	0 - 1	Loss
Jul 19, 26	Away	Monterrey	3 - 2	Loss
Jul 10, 26	Home	America de Cali	0 - 1	Loss
Jun 28, 26	Away	NY Cosmos	1 - 2	Win
Jun 23, 26	Away	Annapolis Blues	0 - 2	Win

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Aug 1, 26	Away	Puebla	1 - 1	Draw
Jul 25, 26	Home	FC Juarez	1 - 0	Win
Jul 19, 26	Home	Toluca	0 - 2	Loss
Jul 4, 26	Away	Correcaminos Uat	0 - 0	Draw
May 17, 26	Home	Cruz Azul	1 - 2	Loss
May 14, 26	Away	Cruz Azul	2 - 2	Draw

Pos	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
11	Guadalajara Chivas	3	1	1	1	2	3	-1	4
17	Santos Laguna	3	0	0	3	2	7	-5	0

This prediction indicates that Guadalajara Chivas has a 57.46% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 20.89 %

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