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CONMEBOL Sudamericana logo

CONMEBOL Sudamericana

Aug. 12, 2026 1 week, 6 days from now VS

Match Analysis

Santos Macara
Santos W D W L W W
Macara W W L W W W
STRENGTH
SHOT CONVERSION
SHOTS ON TARGET
POSSESSION
SAVE RATE
ATTACKING POTENTIAL
DEFENSIVE POTENTIAL
EXPECTED GOALS
WINS THE GAME
What do these metrics mean?
Strength
Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion
Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target
Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession
Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate
Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential
Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential
Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals
Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head
Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game
Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Santos Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Jul 29, 26 Home UCV 4 - 2 Win
Jul 25, 26 Home Chapecoense-sc 2 - 2 Draw
Jul 22, 26 Away UCV 1 - 4 Win
Jul 16, 26 Away Botafogo 2 - 1 Loss
Jul 4, 26 Home União São João 3 - 0 Win
May 30, 26 Home Vitoria 3 - 1 Win

Macara Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Jul 26, 26 Away Aucas 1 - 4 Win
Jul 22, 26 Home Deportivo Cuenca 3 - 0 Win
Jul 18, 26 Away Delfin SC 2 - 1 Loss
Jul 14, 26 Home Mushuc Runa SC 2 - 1 Win
Jul 11, 26 Away Tecnico Universitario 0 - 2 Win
Jul 5, 26 Home LDU de Quito 1 - 0 Win

Predictions

Santos to win
This prediction indicates that Santos has a 45.56% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 31.31 %
Under 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 57.19% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than two goals scored.
Under 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 52.49% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.

Most Likely Scorelines

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