CONMEBOL Sudamericana
Match Analysis
Santos
Macara
Santos
L
W
D
W
L
W
Macara
W
W
W
W
L
W
What do these metrics mean?
- Strength
- Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
- Shot Conversion
- Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Shots on Target
- Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Possession
- Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
- Save Rate
- Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
- Attacking Potential
- Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
- Defensive Potential
- Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
- Expected Goals
- Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
- Head to Head
- Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
- Wins the Game
- Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.
Why this prediction? AI insight
Santos have had moderate recent form, while Macara have arrived with strong recent form, but the two sides are considered closely matched in overall quality. The model predicts a home win with a 66% probability, which is notably more confident in Santos than the current market odds suggest. Additionally, the model sees a good chance that both teams will score and that more than one goal will be scored in the match, aligning with relatively short odds for these outcomes.
Santos Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 9, 26 | Home | Atletico Paranaense | 0 - 2 | Loss |
| Jul 29, 26 | Home | UCV | 4 - 2 | Win |
| Jul 25, 26 | Home | Chapecoense-sc | 2 - 2 | Draw |
| Jul 22, 26 | Away | UCV | 1 - 4 | Win |
| Jul 16, 26 | Away | Botafogo | 2 - 1 | Loss |
| Jul 4, 26 | Home | União São João | 3 - 0 | Win |
Macara Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 9, 26 | Away | Barcelona SC | 1 - 2 | Win |
| Aug 2, 26 | Home | Guayaquil City FC | 2 - 1 | Win |
| Jul 26, 26 | Away | Aucas | 1 - 4 | Win |
| Jul 22, 26 | Home | Deportivo Cuenca | 3 - 0 | Win |
| Jul 18, 26 | Away | Delfin SC | 2 - 1 | Loss |
| Jul 14, 26 | Home | Mushuc Runa SC | 2 - 1 | Win |
Predictions
Correct Prediction! ✅
Both Teams To Score - Yes
This prediction indicates that there is a 51.82% likelihood that both Santos and Macara will score at least one goal each during the course of the match.Correct Prediction! ✅
Santos to win
This prediction indicates that Santos has a 65.96% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 17.32 %Correct Prediction! ✅
Over 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 56.58% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be two or more goals scored.Correct Prediction! ✅
Over 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 52.16% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be three or more goals scored.Most Likely Scorelines
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