Serie A
Match Analysis
Santos
Mirassol
Santos
W
D
W
L
W
W
Mirassol
L
W
D
W
L
L
What do these metrics mean?
- Strength
- Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
- Shot Conversion
- Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Shots on Target
- Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Possession
- Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
- Save Rate
- Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
- Attacking Potential
- Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
- Defensive Potential
- Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
- Expected Goals
- Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
- Head to Head
- Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
- Wins the Game
- Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.
Head to Head History
| Home Team | Away Team | Score | Date |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mirassol | Santos | 2 - 2 | March 11, 2026 |
| Santos | Mirassol | 1 - 1 | November 20, 2025 |
| Mirassol | Santos | 3 - 0 | July 19, 2025 |
| Santos | Mirassol | 3 - 2 | October 12, 2024 |
| Mirassol | Santos | 0 - 0 | June 26, 2024 |
Santos Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 29, 26 | Home | UCV | 4 - 2 | Win |
| Jul 25, 26 | Home | Chapecoense-sc | 2 - 2 | Draw |
| Jul 22, 26 | Away | UCV | 1 - 4 | Win |
| Jul 16, 26 | Away | Botafogo | 2 - 1 | Loss |
| Jul 4, 26 | Home | União São João | 3 - 0 | Win |
| May 30, 26 | Home | Vitoria | 3 - 1 | Win |
Mirassol Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 9, 26 | Away | Cruzeiro | 3 - 1 | Loss |
| Jul 29, 26 | Home | remo | 2 - 1 | Win |
| Jul 25, 26 | Away | Vasco DA Gama | 1 - 1 | Draw |
| Jul 17, 26 | Home | Gremio | 2 - 1 | Win |
| May 30, 26 | Away | Atletico Paranaense | 1 - 0 | Loss |
| May 26, 26 | Away | Lanus | 1 - 0 | Loss |
Serie A Table
| Pos | Team | MP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | Mirassol | 20 | 6 | 5 | 9 | 23 | 27 | -4 | 23 |
| 16 | Santos | 20 | 5 | 7 | 8 | 29 | 33 | -4 | 22 |
Predictions
Both Teams To Score - Yes
This prediction indicates that there is a 55.95% likelihood that both Santos and Mirassol will score at least one goal each during the course of the match.Santos to win or Draw
This prediction indicates that Santos has a 38.9% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 30.83 %Over 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 52.33% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be two or more goals scored.Over 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 50.17% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be three or more goals scored.Most Likely Scorelines
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