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Paulista Série B logo

Paulista Série B

May 30, 2026 4 weeks, 2 days ago
8 – 0
Full Time

Match Analysis

Sao Carlos Grêmio Catanduvense
Sao Carlos L D L L W W
Grêmio Catanduvense L L L L L L
EXPECTED GOALS
WINS THE GAME
What do these metrics mean?
Strength
Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion
Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target
Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession
Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate
Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential
Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential
Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals
Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head
Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game
Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Head to Head History

Home Team Away Team Score Date
Grêmio Catanduvense Sao Carlos 1 - 2 April 26, 2026

Sao Carlos Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
May 23, 26 Away Mogi Mirim 3 - 1 Loss
May 16, 26 Home Santacruzense 1 - 1 Draw
May 10, 26 Away Independente SP 2 - 1 Loss
May 2, 26 Home Matonense 0 - 2 Loss
Apr 26, 26 Away Grêmio Catanduvense 1 - 2 Win
Apr 18, 26 Home Mogi Mirim 2 - 0 Win

Grêmio Catanduvense Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
May 24, 26 Home Santacruzense 1 - 5 Loss
May 17, 26 Home Independente SP 0 - 4 Loss
May 9, 26 Away Matonense 3 - 1 Loss
May 2, 26 Away Mogi Mirim 2 - 1 Loss
Apr 26, 26 Home Sao Carlos 1 - 2 Loss
Apr 19, 26 Away Santacruzense 6 - 0 Loss

Paulista Série B Table

Pos Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
17 Sao Carlos 6 2 1 3 7 9 -2 7
24 Grêmio Catanduvense 6 0 0 6 4 22 -18 0

Predictions

Correct Prediction! ✅

Both Teams To Score - No
This prediction suggests that there is a 51.09% likelihood that only one team is likely to score throughout the entire match.

Correct Prediction! ✅

Sao Carlos to win
This prediction indicates that Sao Carlos has a 63.49% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 15.58 %

Most Likely Scorelines

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