Paulista Série B
Match Analysis
Sao Carlos
Independente SP
Sao Carlos
D
W
L
D
L
L
Independente SP
L
W
W
W
W
W
What do these metrics mean?
- Strength
- Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
- Shot Conversion
- Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Shots on Target
- Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Possession
- Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
- Save Rate
- Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
- Attacking Potential
- Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
- Defensive Potential
- Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
- Expected Goals
- Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
- Head to Head
- Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
- Wins the Game
- Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.
Head to Head History
| Home Team | Away Team | Score | Date |
|---|---|---|---|
| Independente SP | Sao Carlos | 2 - 1 | May 10, 2026 |
| Independente SP | Sao Carlos | 5 - 1 | June 21, 2025 |
| Sao Carlos | Independente SP | 3 - 0 | May 16, 2025 |
Sao Carlos Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 7, 26 | Away | Matonense | 1 - 1 | Draw |
| May 30, 26 | Home | Grêmio Catanduvense | 8 - 0 | Win |
| May 23, 26 | Away | Mogi Mirim | 3 - 1 | Loss |
| May 16, 26 | Home | Santacruzense | 1 - 1 | Draw |
| May 10, 26 | Away | Independente SP | 2 - 1 | Loss |
| May 2, 26 | Home | Matonense | 0 - 2 | Loss |
Independente SP Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 7, 26 | Home | Santacruzense | 0 - 1 | Loss |
| May 30, 26 | Home | Mogi Mirim | 4 - 1 | Win |
| May 24, 26 | Away | Matonense | 0 - 2 | Win |
| May 17, 26 | Away | Grêmio Catanduvense | 0 - 4 | Win |
| May 10, 26 | Home | Sao Carlos | 2 - 1 | Win |
| May 3, 26 | Away | Santacruzense | 2 - 5 | Win |
Paulista Série B Table
| Pos | Team | MP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Independente SP | 8 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 20 | 5 | +15 | 21 |
| 13 | Sao Carlos | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 16 | 10 | +6 | 11 |
Predictions
Both Teams To Score - Yes
This prediction indicates that there is a 57.18% likelihood that both Sao Carlos and Independente SP will score at least one goal each during the course of the match.Independente SP to win
This prediction indicates that Independente SP has a 49.8% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 24.47 %Correct Prediction! ✅
Over 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 70.86% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be two or more goals scored.Over 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 57.26% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be three or more goals scored.Most Likely Scorelines
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