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Serie D logo

Serie D

June 1, 2026 4 weeks ago
1 – 0
Full Time

Match Analysis

Sao Jose Independiente FSJ
Sao Jose D D W D D L
Independiente FSJ D L D W W L
STRENGTH
EXPECTED GOALS
WINS THE GAME
What do these metrics mean?
Strength
Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion
Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target
Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession
Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate
Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential
Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential
Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals
Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head
Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game
Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Head to Head History

Home Team Away Team Score Date
Independiente FSJ Sao Jose 1 - 0 April 11, 2026

Sao Jose Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
May 24, 26 Home Marcílio Dias 1 - 1 Draw
May 17, 26 Away Brasil DE Pelotas 0 - 0 Draw
May 9, 26 Home Azuriz 1 - 0 Win
May 3, 26 Away Azuriz 1 - 1 Draw
Apr 25, 26 Home Brasil DE Pelotas 0 - 0 Draw
Apr 18, 26 Away Marcílio Dias 2 - 1 Loss

Independiente FSJ Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
May 24, 26 Home Brasil DE Pelotas 0 - 0 Draw
May 19, 26 Home Azuriz 0 - 1 Loss
May 9, 26 Away Blumenau 0 - 0 Draw
May 2, 26 Home Blumenau 1 - 0 Win
Apr 26, 26 Away Azuriz 0 - 1 Win
Apr 19, 26 Away Brasil DE Pelotas 2 - 0 Loss

Serie D Table

Pos Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
42 Independiente FSJ 8 3 3 2 3 3 0 12
80 Sao Jose 8 1 4 3 4 8 -4 7

Predictions

Correct Prediction! ✅

Both Teams To Score - No
This prediction suggests that there is a 68.69% likelihood that only one team is likely to score throughout the entire match.

Correct Prediction! ✅

Sao Jose to win
This prediction indicates that Sao Jose has a 43.42% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 31.97 %

Correct Prediction! ✅

Under 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 62.07% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.

Most Likely Scorelines

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