Sarıyer vs Muğlaspor Sunday 09th August 2026 07:00 PM football predictions.

Sarıyer Muğlaspor

Sarıyer W W L W D W

Muğlaspor D D W W D W

STRENGTH

EXPECTED GOALS

WINS THE GAME

What do these metrics mean?

Strength: Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion: Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target: Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession: Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate: Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential: Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential: Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals: Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head: Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game: Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Home Team	Away Team	Score	Date
Muğlaspor	Sarıyer	2 - 2	October 9, 2024

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
May 2, 26	Away	BB Bodrumspor	0 - 1	Win
Apr 26, 26	Home	Erokspor	1 - 0	Win
Apr 19, 26	Away	İstanbulspor	3 - 1	Loss
Apr 11, 26	Home	Hatayspor	4 - 0	Win
Apr 7, 26	Away	Bandırmaspor	0 - 0	Draw
Apr 4, 26	Home	Serik Belediyespor	3 - 0	Win

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
May 10, 26	Home	Elazığspor	0 - 0	Draw
May 4, 26	Home	Şanlıurfaspor	1 - 1	Draw
Apr 30, 26	Away	Şanlıurfaspor	0 - 1	Win
Apr 25, 26	Away	Kastamonuspor 1966	0 - 3	Win
Apr 19, 26	Home	Şanlıurfaspor	0 - 0	Draw
Apr 12, 26	Away	Karaman Belediyespor	0 - 4	Win

Pos	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
None	Muğlaspor	None	None	None	None	None	None	None	None
None	Sarıyer	None	None	None	None	None	None	None	None

This prediction suggests that there is a 51.26% likelihood that only one team is likely to score throughout the entire match.

This prediction indicates that Sarıyer has a 43.2% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 31.38 %

This prediction indicates that there is a 59.25% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than two goals scored.

This prediction indicates that there is a 60.06% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.

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