Saudi Arabia vs Iraq Tuesday 29th September 2026 08:30 PM football predictions.

Gulf Cup of Nations

Sept. 29, 2026 6 days, 7 hours from now VS

Saudi Arabia Iraq

Saudi Arabia D L D D W L

Iraq L L L L D L

STRENGTH

SHOT CONVERSION

SHOTS ON TARGET

POSSESSION

SAVE RATE

ATTACKING POTENTIAL

DEFENSIVE POTENTIAL

EXPECTED GOALS

HEAD TO HEAD

WINS THE GAME

What do these metrics mean?

Strength: Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion: Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target: Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession: Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate: Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential: Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential: Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals: Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head: Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game: Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Home Team	Away Team	Score	Date
Iraq	Saudi Arabia	1 - 3	December 28, 2024
Saudi Arabia	Iraq	0 - 2	January 9, 2023
Saudi Arabia	Iraq	1 - 1	October 15, 2018
Iraq	Saudi Arabia	4 - 1	February 28, 2018

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jun 27, 26	Away	Cape Verde Islands	0 - 0	Draw
Jun 21, 26	Away	Spain	4 - 0	Loss
Jun 15, 26	Home	Uruguay	1 - 1	Draw
Jun 9, 26	Home	Senegal	0 - 0	Draw
Jun 5, 26	Away	Puerto Rico	0 - 3	Win
May 31, 26	Away	Ecuador	2 - 1	Loss

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jun 26, 26	Away	Senegal	5 - 0	Loss
Jun 22, 26	Away	France	3 - 0	Loss
Jun 16, 26	Home	Norway	1 - 4	Loss
Jun 10, 26	Home	Venezuela	0 - 2	Loss
Jun 4, 26	Away	Spain	1 - 1	Draw
May 29, 26	Away	Andorra	1 - 0	Loss

Pos	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
None	Iraq	None	None	None	None	None	None	None	None
None	Saudi Arabia	None	None	None	None	None	None	None	None

This prediction indicates that Saudi Arabia has a 55.01% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 23.33 %

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