Taça de Portugal
Match Analysis
SC Barreiro
Madalena
Madalena
L
L
L
What do these metrics mean?
- Strength
- Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
- Shot Conversion
- Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Shots on Target
- Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Possession
- Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
- Save Rate
- Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
- Attacking Potential
- Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
- Defensive Potential
- Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
- Expected Goals
- Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
- Head to Head
- Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
- Wins the Game
- Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.
Why this prediction? AI insight
Both SC Barreiro and Madalena have been in poor recent form, but Barreiro holds a modest quality edge. Madalena’s recent defensive struggles add to the concern for their performance. The model predicts a home win with a 45% probability and also suggests there's a 52% chance both teams will score, indicating some offensive confidence despite the overall shaky form of both sides.
Madalena Form (Last 3 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 8, 24 | Home | Estrela Vendas Novas | 0 - 2 | Loss |
| Sep 11, 22 | Away | Oriental Lisboa | 1 - 0 | Loss |
| Sep 27, 20 | Away | FC Barreirense | 3 - 0 | Loss |
Predictions
SC Barreiro to win
This prediction indicates that SC Barreiro has a 45.43% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 28.46 %Correct Prediction! ✅
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