Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification
Match Analysis
Senegal
Mozambique
Senegal
D
W
L
L
D
L
Mozambique
L
L
L
L
W
L
What do these metrics mean?
- Strength
- Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
- Shot Conversion
- Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Shots on Target
- Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Possession
- Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
- Save Rate
- Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
- Attacking Potential
- Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
- Defensive Potential
- Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
- Expected Goals
- Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
- Head to Head
- Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
- Wins the Game
- Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.
Head to Head History
| Home Team | Away Team | Score | Date |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mozambique | Senegal | 0 - 1 | March 28, 2023 |
| Senegal | Mozambique | 5 - 1 | March 24, 2023 |
Senegal Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 1, 26 | Away | Belgium | 2 - 2 | Draw |
| Jun 26, 26 | Home | Iraq | 5 - 0 | Win |
| Jun 23, 26 | Away | Norway | 3 - 2 | Loss |
| Jun 16, 26 | Away | France | 3 - 1 | Loss |
| Jun 9, 26 | Away | Saudi Arabia | 0 - 0 | Draw |
| May 31, 26 | Away | USA | 3 - 2 | Loss |
Mozambique Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 9, 26 | Away | Indonesia | 1 - 0 | Loss |
| Jun 7, 26 | Away | Oman | 4 - 1 | Loss |
| Jan 5, 26 | Away | Nigeria | 4 - 0 | Loss |
| Dec 31, 25 | Home | Cameroon | 1 - 2 | Loss |
| Dec 28, 25 | Away | Gabon | 2 - 3 | Win |
| Dec 24, 25 | Away | Ivory Coast | 1 - 0 | Loss |
Predictions
Both Teams To Score - No
This prediction suggests that there is a 54.37% likelihood that only one team is likely to score throughout the entire match.Senegal to win
This prediction indicates that Senegal has a 66.16% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 19.61 %Most Likely Scorelines
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