First League
Match Analysis
Septemvri Sofia
CSKA 1948
Septemvri Sofia
L
L
D
W
W
L
CSKA 1948
D
W
D
W
D
D
What do these metrics mean?
- Strength
- Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
- Shot Conversion
- Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Shots on Target
- Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Possession
- Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
- Save Rate
- Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
- Attacking Potential
- Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
- Defensive Potential
- Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
- Expected Goals
- Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
- Head to Head
- Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
- Wins the Game
- Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.
Head to Head History
| Home Team | Away Team | Score | Date |
|---|---|---|---|
| Septemvri Sofia | CSKA 1948 | 1 - 4 | December 3, 2025 |
| CSKA 1948 | Septemvri Sofia | 2 - 1 | August 1, 2025 |
| CSKA 1948 | Septemvri Sofia | 2 - 0 | May 11, 2025 |
| CSKA 1948 | Septemvri Sofia | 2 - 0 | December 3, 2024 |
| Septemvri Sofia | CSKA 1948 | 1 - 1 | September 25, 2024 |
| CSKA 1948 | Septemvri Sofia | 2 - 1 | November 17, 2023 |
Septemvri Sofia Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 1, 26 | Away | Levski Sofia | 3 - 0 | Loss |
| Jul 26, 26 | Away | Lokomotiv Plovdiv | 2 - 1 | Loss |
| Jul 18, 26 | Home | Arda Kardzhali | 1 - 1 | Draw |
| Jul 10, 26 | Home | Ludogorets | 1 - 0 | Win |
| Jul 7, 26 | Home | Hebar 1918 | 2 - 1 | Win |
| Jul 4, 26 | Home | Slavia Sofia | 2 - 3 | Loss |
CSKA 1948 Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 5, 26 | Away | Panathinaikos | 1 - 1 | Draw |
| Jul 31, 26 | Home | Arda Kardzhali | 2 - 1 | Win |
| Jul 28, 26 | Home | Spartak Trnava | 0 - 0 | Draw |
| Jul 25, 26 | Home | Botev Vratsa | 2 - 1 | Win |
| Jul 22, 26 | Away | Spartak Trnava | 0 - 0 | Draw |
| Jul 17, 26 | Away | Spartak Varna | 2 - 2 | Draw |
First League Table
| Pos | Team | MP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | CSKA 1948 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 4 | +2 | 7 |
| 12 | Septemvri Sofia | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 6 | -4 | 1 |
Predictions
CSKA 1948 to win
This prediction indicates that CSKA 1948 has a 64.1% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 19.57 %Most Likely Scorelines
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