Septemvri Sofia vs Hebar 1918 Tuesday 07th July 2026 03:00 PM football predictions.

Septemvri Sofia Hebar 1918

Septemvri Sofia W W D W W D

Hebar 1918 W W L W L L

STRENGTH

SHOT CONVERSION

SHOTS ON TARGET

POSSESSION

SAVE RATE

ATTACKING POTENTIAL

EXPECTED GOALS

HEAD TO HEAD

WINS THE GAME

What do these metrics mean?

Strength: Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion: Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target: Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession: Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate: Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential: Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential: Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals: Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head: Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game: Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Home Team	Away Team	Score	Date
Septemvri Sofia	Hebar 1918	1 - 0	May 15, 2025
Septemvri Sofia	Hebar 1918	6 - 1	March 10, 2025
Hebar 1918	Septemvri Sofia	1 - 2	September 20, 2024
Hebar 1918	Septemvri Sofia	3 - 1	May 26, 2023
Septemvri Sofia	Hebar 1918	1 - 1	November 4, 2022
Hebar 1918	Septemvri Sofia	1 - 3	July 18, 2022

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jun 27, 26	Home	Marek	3 - 0	Win
May 28, 26	Home	Yantra 2019	2 - 1	Win
May 22, 26	Home	Dobrudzha	1 - 1	Draw
May 18, 26	Away	Beroe	0 - 1	Win
May 14, 26	Home	Spartak Varna	1 - 0	Win
May 10, 26	Away	Botev Vratsa	1 - 1	Draw

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jan 31, 26	Away	Sloga Doboj	0 - 2	Win
Jan 21, 26	Away	Sportist Svoge	1 - 2	Win
May 25, 25	Away	Lokomotiv Sofia	3 - 0	Loss
May 20, 25	Home	Botev Vratsa	1 - 0	Win
May 15, 25	Away	Septemvri Sofia	1 - 0	Loss
May 11, 25	Home	Lokomotiv Plovdiv	1 - 2	Loss

Pos	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
654	Hebar 1918	2	2	0	0	4	1	+3	6
731	Septemvri Sofia	6	2	0	4	6	11	-5	6

This prediction suggests that there is a 50.06% likelihood that only one team is likely to score throughout the entire match.

This prediction indicates that Hebar 1918 has a 36.77% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 32.63 %

This prediction indicates that there is a 55.56% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.

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