Serbia vs Greece Thursday 24th September 2026 09:45 PM football predictions.

UEFA Nations League

Sept. 24, 2026 2 weeks from now VS

Serbia Greece

Serbia L L L L W L

Greece L D D L D W

STRENGTH

SHOT CONVERSION

SHOTS ON TARGET

POSSESSION

SAVE RATE

ATTACKING POTENTIAL

EXPECTED GOALS

WINS THE GAME

What do these metrics mean?

Strength: Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion: Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target: Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession: Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate: Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential: Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential: Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals: Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head: Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game: Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jun 5, 26	Away	Mexico	5 - 1	Loss
May 31, 26	Away	Cape Verde Islands	3 - 0	Loss
Mar 31, 26	Away	Saudi Arabia	2 - 1	Loss
Mar 27, 26	Away	Spain	3 - 0	Loss
Nov 16, 25	Home	Latvia	2 - 1	Win
Nov 13, 25	Away	England	2 - 0	Loss

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jun 7, 26	Home	Italy	0 - 1	Loss
Jun 4, 26	Away	Sweden	2 - 2	Draw
Mar 31, 26	Away	Hungary	0 - 0	Draw
Mar 27, 26	Home	Paraguay	0 - 1	Loss
Nov 18, 25	Away	Belarus	0 - 0	Draw
Nov 15, 25	Home	Scotland	3 - 2	Win

This prediction indicates that Serbia has a 42.79% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 27.36 %

This prediction indicates that there is a 51.04% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be two or more goals scored.

This prediction indicates that there is a 50.05% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.

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