Sevilla vs Rayo Vallecano Saturday 15th August 2026 10:30 PM football predictions.

Match Analysis

Sevilla Rayo Vallecano

Sevilla W W D L W L

Rayo Vallecano L L L W W D

STRENGTH

SHOT CONVERSION

SHOTS ON TARGET

POSSESSION

SAVE RATE

ATTACKING POTENTIAL

DEFENSIVE POTENTIAL

EXPECTED GOALS

WINS THE GAME

What do these metrics mean?

Strength: Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion: Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target: Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession: Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate: Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential: Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential: Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals: Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head: Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game: Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Head to Head History

Home Team	Away Team	Score	Date
Sevilla	Rayo Vallecano	1 - 1	March 8, 2026
Rayo Vallecano	Sevilla	0 - 1	September 28, 2025
Rayo Vallecano	Sevilla	1 - 1	March 1, 2025
Sevilla	Rayo Vallecano	1 - 0	November 24, 2024
Rayo Vallecano	Sevilla	1 - 2	February 5, 2024
Sevilla	Rayo Vallecano	2 - 2	October 7, 2023

Sevilla Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jul 31, 26	Away	NEC Nijmegen	1 - 2	Win
Jul 26, 26	Home	AD Ceuta FC	2 - 1	Win
Jul 23, 26	Away	Cordoba	0 - 0	Draw
Jul 19, 26	Away	Cracovia Krakow	1 - 0	Loss
Jul 11, 26	Home	Juventud Torremolinos	1 - 0	Win
May 23, 26	Away	Celta Vigo	1 - 0	Loss

Rayo Vallecano Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jul 26, 26	Away	Feyenoord	2 - 1	Loss
Jul 17, 26	Away	Heart Of Midlothian	2 - 1	Loss
May 27, 26	Away	Crystal Palace	1 - 0	Loss
May 23, 26	Away	Alaves	1 - 2	Win
May 17, 26	Home	Villarreal	2 - 0	Win
May 14, 26	Away	Valencia	1 - 1	Draw

La Liga Table

Pos	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
None	Rayo Vallecano	None	None	None	None	None	None	None	None
None	Sevilla	None	None	None	None	None	None	None	None

Predictions

Rayo Vallecano to win

This prediction indicates that Rayo Vallecano has a 40.5% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 29.13 %

Over 1.5 goals

This prediction indicates that there is a 50.37% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be two or more goals scored.

Under 2.5 goals

This prediction indicates that there is a 55.17% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.

Most Likely Scorelines

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