UEFA Champions League
Match Analysis
Shakhtar Donetsk
AEK Athens FC
Shakhtar Donetsk
W
W
L
D
D
W
AEK Athens FC
W
W
D
W
W
L
What do these metrics mean?
- Strength
- Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
- Shot Conversion
- Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Shots on Target
- Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Possession
- Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
- Save Rate
- Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
- Attacking Potential
- Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
- Defensive Potential
- Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
- Expected Goals
- Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
- Head to Head
- Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
- Wins the Game
- Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.
Head to Head History
| Home Team | Away Team | Score | Date |
|---|---|---|---|
| AEK Athens FC | Shakhtar Donetsk | 5 - 0 | July 13, 2023 |
Shakhtar Donetsk Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 16, 26 | Away | Metalist 1925 Kharkiv | 0 - 1 | Win |
| Aug 9, 26 | Away | Epitsentr Dunayivtsi | 0 - 2 | Win |
| Aug 3, 26 | Away | Kudrivka | 5 - 1 | Loss |
| Jul 26, 26 | Away | Bursaspor | 0 - 0 | Draw |
| Jul 25, 26 | Home | Al Ula | 0 - 0 | Draw |
| Jul 23, 26 | Away | HNK Gorica | 0 - 2 | Win |
AEK Athens FC Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 26, 26 | Home | Levski Sofia | 4 - 0 | Win |
| Aug 22, 26 | Home | Iraklis 1908 | 4 - 0 | Win |
| Aug 18, 26 | Away | Levski Sofia | 0 - 0 | Draw |
| Aug 8, 26 | Home | Kallithea | 4 - 0 | Win |
| Aug 2, 26 | Home | St. Truiden | 3 - 0 | Win |
| Jul 29, 26 | Home | Samsunspor | 1 - 2 | Loss |
Predictions
Shakhtar Donetsk or AEK Athens FC to win
This prediction indicates that AEK Athens FC has a 40.1% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 25.38 %Over 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 54.86% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be two or more goals scored.Under 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 52.13% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.Most Likely Scorelines
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