UEFA Champions League
Match Analysis
Shakhtar Donetsk
Real Madrid
Shakhtar Donetsk
W
W
L
D
D
W
Real Madrid
W
W
W
W
W
D
What do these metrics mean?
- Strength
- Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
- Shot Conversion
- Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Shots on Target
- Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Possession
- Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
- Save Rate
- Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
- Attacking Potential
- Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
- Defensive Potential
- Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
- Expected Goals
- Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
- Head to Head
- Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
- Wins the Game
- Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.
Head to Head History
| Home Team | Away Team | Score | Date |
|---|---|---|---|
| Shakhtar Donetsk | Real Madrid | 1 - 1 | October 11, 2022 |
| Real Madrid | Shakhtar Donetsk | 2 - 1 | October 5, 2022 |
| Real Madrid | Shakhtar Donetsk | 2 - 1 | November 3, 2021 |
| Shakhtar Donetsk | Real Madrid | 0 - 5 | October 19, 2021 |
| Shakhtar Donetsk | Real Madrid | 2 - 0 | December 1, 2020 |
| Real Madrid | Shakhtar Donetsk | 2 - 3 | October 21, 2020 |
Shakhtar Donetsk Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 16, 26 | Away | Metalist 1925 Kharkiv | 0 - 1 | Win |
| Aug 9, 26 | Away | Epitsentr Dunayivtsi | 0 - 2 | Win |
| Aug 3, 26 | Away | Kudrivka | 5 - 1 | Loss |
| Jul 26, 26 | Away | Bursaspor | 0 - 0 | Draw |
| Jul 25, 26 | Home | Al Ula | 0 - 0 | Draw |
| Jul 23, 26 | Away | HNK Gorica | 0 - 2 | Win |
Real Madrid Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 26, 26 | Home | Real Sociedad | 4 - 1 | Win |
| Aug 22, 26 | Away | Espanyol | 1 - 2 | Win |
| Aug 16, 26 | Away | FC Schalke 04 | 0 - 3 | Win |
| Aug 12, 26 | Away | Deportivo La Coruna | 0 - 1 | Win |
| Aug 8, 26 | Away | Ferencvarosi TC | 1 - 2 | Win |
| Aug 1, 26 | Home | Fiorentina | 2 - 2 | Draw |
Predictions
Both Teams To Score - Yes
This prediction indicates that there is a 55.68% likelihood that both Shakhtar Donetsk and Real Madrid will score at least one goal each during the course of the match.Real Madrid to win
This prediction indicates that Real Madrid has a 47.33% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 24.63 %Over 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 61.01% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be two or more goals scored.Over 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 60.19% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be three or more goals scored.Most Likely Scorelines
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