Championship
Match Analysis
Sheffield Utd
Lincoln
Sheffield Utd
L
L
L
W
L
W
Lincoln
L
W
W
L
D
D
What do these metrics mean?
- Strength
- Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
- Shot Conversion
- Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Shots on Target
- Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Possession
- Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
- Save Rate
- Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
- Attacking Potential
- Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
- Defensive Potential
- Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
- Expected Goals
- Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
- Head to Head
- Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
- Wins the Game
- Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.
Why this prediction? AI insight
Sheffield Utd have been struggling with poor recent form, while Lincoln arrive with moderate recent form and a modest quality edge. Lincoln have also shown strong attacking form recently, although shot volume between the sides has been fairly even. The model predicts a home win with a 46% probability, which is notably less confident than what the market odds imply. The model also sees a 52% chance that both teams will score, aligning fairly with the market view.
Head to Head History
| Home Team | Away Team | Score | Date |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sheffield Utd | Lincoln | 0 - 0 | August 30, 2023 |
Sheffield Utd Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 19, 26 | Away | Stoke City | 2 - 1 | Loss |
| Sep 16, 26 | Away | Fleetwood Town | 1 - 0 | Loss |
| Sep 13, 26 | Home | Wolves | 0 - 1 | Loss |
| Sep 8, 26 | Away | Blackburn | 1 - 2 | Win |
| Sep 5, 26 | Home | Norwich | 1 - 3 | Loss |
| Sep 1, 26 | Home | Bolton | 3 - 2 | Win |
Lincoln Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 19, 26 | Home | Swansea | 1 - 2 | Loss |
| Sep 15, 26 | Away | Bristol City | 0 - 1 | Win |
| Sep 12, 26 | Away | Preston | 0 - 1 | Win |
| Sep 8, 26 | Away | Bournemouth | 4 - 0 | Loss |
| Sep 5, 26 | Home | Southampton | 1 - 1 | Draw |
| Sep 1, 26 | Home | Blackburn | 0 - 0 | Draw |
Championship Table
| Pos | Team | MP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Lincoln | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 8 | -1 | 11 |
| 18 | Sheffield Utd | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 9 | 11 | -2 | 9 |
Predictions
Sheffield Utd to win
This prediction indicates that Sheffield Utd has a 46.49% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 26.28 %Under 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 52.53% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.Most Likely Scorelines
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