Premier Division
Match Analysis
Shelbourne
St Patrick's Athl.
Shelbourne
L
L
L
W
D
W
St Patrick's Athl.
D
D
W
D
W
L
What do these metrics mean?
- Strength
- Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
- Shot Conversion
- Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Shots on Target
- Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Possession
- Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
- Save Rate
- Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
- Attacking Potential
- Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
- Defensive Potential
- Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
- Expected Goals
- Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
- Head to Head
- Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
- Wins the Game
- Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.
Why this prediction? AI insight
Shelbourne have struggled in recent matches, while St Patrick's Athletic have been more consistent. St Patrick's also have a slight edge in team quality and come into the game well-rested. The model predicts a 45% chance of an away win, which is notably more confident than the market odds suggest. Additionally, the model sees a 53% chance that both teams will score, and expects fewer than two goals in the match.
Head to Head History
| Home Team | Away Team | Score | Date |
|---|---|---|---|
| St Patrick's Athl. | Shelbourne | 0 - 1 | May 15, 2026 |
| Shelbourne | St Patrick's Athl. | 2 - 3 | March 6, 2026 |
| Shelbourne | St Patrick's Athl. | 0 - 0 | November 1, 2025 |
| St Patrick's Athl. | Shelbourne | 0 - 1 | June 16, 2025 |
| Shelbourne | St Patrick's Athl. | 2 - 1 | May 9, 2025 |
| St Patrick's Athl. | Shelbourne | 0 - 0 | April 4, 2025 |
Shelbourne Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 6, 26 | Away | Ajax | 3 - 1 | Loss |
| Aug 2, 26 | Away | Waterford | 1 - 0 | Loss |
| Jul 30, 26 | Away | Kalju Nomme | 2 - 1 | Loss |
| Jul 23, 26 | Home | Kalju Nomme | 5 - 2 | Win |
| Jul 7, 26 | Home | Celtic | 1 - 1 | Draw |
| Jul 3, 26 | Home | Dundalk | 2 - 1 | Win |
St Patrick's Athl. Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 2, 26 | Home | Derry City | 1 - 1 | Draw |
| Jul 24, 26 | Home | Dundalk | 1 - 1 | Draw |
| Jul 14, 26 | Home | Doncaster | 4 - 2 | Win |
| Jul 10, 26 | Away | Waterford | 1 - 1 | Draw |
| Jul 3, 26 | Home | Galway United | 3 - 0 | Win |
| Jun 26, 26 | Away | Bohemians | 2 - 0 | Loss |
Premier Division Table
| Pos | Team | MP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | St Patrick's Athl. | 26 | 12 | 8 | 6 | 41 | 22 | +19 | 44 |
| 5 | Shelbourne | 25 | 8 | 10 | 7 | 35 | 36 | -1 | 34 |
Predictions
Correct Prediction! ✅
St Patrick's Athl. to win
This prediction indicates that St Patrick's Athl. has a 44.53% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 27.53 %Under 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 53.79% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than two goals scored.Under 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 56.31% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.Most Likely Scorelines
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