Shinnik Yaroslavl vs Arsenal Tula Saturday 08th August 2026 06:00 PM football predictions.

Match Analysis

Shinnik Yaroslavl Arsenal Tula

Shinnik Yaroslavl W D D D D W

Arsenal Tula L W D D D L

STRENGTH

POSSESSION

EXPECTED GOALS

HEAD TO HEAD

WINS THE GAME

What do these metrics mean?

Strength: Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion: Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target: Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession: Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate: Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential: Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential: Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals: Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head: Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game: Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Head to Head History

Home Team	Away Team	Score	Date
Shinnik Yaroslavl	Arsenal Tula	2 - 0	April 18, 2026
Arsenal Tula	Shinnik Yaroslavl	1 - 1	July 25, 2025
Shinnik Yaroslavl	Arsenal Tula	2 - 1	April 20, 2025
Arsenal Tula	Shinnik Yaroslavl	1 - 1	October 26, 2024
Shinnik Yaroslavl	Arsenal Tula	1 - 0	May 25, 2024
Arsenal Tula	Shinnik Yaroslavl	2 - 0	September 17, 2023

Shinnik Yaroslavl Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jul 19, 26	Home	Leningradets	2 - 0	Win
Jul 12, 26	Home	PFC Sochi	2 - 2	Draw
Jun 30, 26	Away	CSKA Moscow	1 - 1	Draw
May 16, 26	Away	Chelyabinsk	2 - 2	Draw
May 11, 26	Home	Torpedo Moskva	1 - 1	Draw
May 4, 26	Away	Ural	0 - 1	Win

Arsenal Tula Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jul 19, 26	Home	FK Neftekhimik	0 - 1	Loss
Jul 13, 26	Home	Tekstilshchik	2 - 1	Win
Jul 4, 26	Away	CSKA Moscow	1 - 1	Draw
Jun 26, 26	Away	PFC Sochi	3 - 3	Draw
Jun 21, 26	Home	Spartak Kostroma	1 - 1	Draw
Jun 17, 26	Home	Volga Ulyanovsk	1 - 2	Loss

First League Table

Pos	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
6	Shinnik Yaroslavl	2	1	1	0	4	2	+2	4
9	Arsenal Tula	2	1	0	1	2	2	0	3

Predictions

Both Teams To Score - No

This prediction suggests that there is a 53.73% likelihood that only one team is likely to score throughout the entire match.

Shinnik Yaroslavl to win

This prediction indicates that Shinnik Yaroslavl has a 59.88% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 23.78 %

Under 1.5 goals

This prediction indicates that there is a 55.22% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than two goals scored.

Under 2.5 goals

This prediction indicates that there is a 58.48% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.

Most Likely Scorelines

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