Shonan Bellmare vs Iwaki Saturday 30th May 2026 08:00 AM football predictions.

Shonan Bellmare Iwaki

Shonan Bellmare L L L W L D

Iwaki D D L L D L

STRENGTH

EXPECTED GOALS

WINS THE GAME

What do these metrics mean?

Strength: Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion: Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target: Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession: Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate: Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential: Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential: Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals: Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head: Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game: Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
May 24, 26	Away	Montedio Yamagata	3 - 1	Loss
May 16, 26	Home	Vegalta Sendai	0 - 2	Loss
May 10, 26	Home	Yokohama FC	0 - 1	Loss
May 6, 26	Away	Vanraure Hachinohe	0 - 1	Win
May 2, 26	Home	Tochigi City	1 - 2	Loss
Apr 29, 26	Away	Tochigi SC	1 - 1	Draw

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
May 23, 26	Away	Fujieda MYFC	0 - 0	Draw
May 17, 26	Home	Matsumoto Yamaga	1 - 1	Draw
May 9, 26	Home	Ventforet Kofu	0 - 1	Loss
May 6, 26	Away	Omiya Ardija	3 - 2	Loss
May 2, 26	Away	Jubilo Iwata	1 - 1	Draw
Apr 29, 26	Home	FC Gifu	0 - 1	Loss

Pos	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
12	Shonan Bellmare	18	8	4	6	25	19	+6	28
16	Iwaki	18	7	6	5	22	18	+4	27

This prediction suggests that there is a 51.85% likelihood that only one team is likely to score throughout the entire match.

Correct Prediction! ✅

This prediction indicates that Iwaki has a 39.97% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 30.49 %

Correct Prediction! ✅

This prediction indicates that there is a 53.38% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.

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