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Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification

Sept. 23, 2026 2 weeks from now VS

Match Analysis

Sierra Leone Zimbabwe
Sierra Leone L W W L W D
Zimbabwe W L W W L D
STRENGTH
EXPECTED GOALS
WINS THE GAME
What do these metrics mean?
Strength
Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion
Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target
Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession
Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate
Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential
Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential
Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals
Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head
Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game
Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Sierra Leone Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Jun 9, 26 Away Liberia 3 - 1 Loss
Jun 6, 26 Home Liberia 1 - 0 Win
Oct 12, 25 Away Djibouti 1 - 2 Win
Oct 8, 25 Home Burkina Faso 0 - 1 Loss
Sep 9, 25 Home Ethiopia 2 - 0 Win
Sep 4, 25 Away Guinea-Bissau 1 - 1 Draw

Zimbabwe Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
May 30, 26 Away India 0 - 1 Win
May 26, 26 Away Nigeria 2 - 0 Loss
Mar 31, 26 Home Zambia U23 1 - 0 Win
Mar 28, 26 Away Botswana 0 - 3 Win
Dec 29, 25 Home South Africa 2 - 3 Loss
Dec 26, 25 Away Angola 1 - 1 Draw

Predictions

Both Teams To Score - No
This prediction suggests that there is a 53.88% likelihood that only one team is likely to score throughout the entire match.
Sierra Leone to win or Draw
This prediction indicates that Sierra Leone has a 40.8% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 31.15 %
Under 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 58.06% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than two goals scored.
Under 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 60.91% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.

Most Likely Scorelines

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