SKA Rostov vs Zenit Penza Wednesday 29th July 2026 06:00 PM football predictions.

SKA Rostov Zenit Penza

SKA Rostov L D W W L W

Zenit Penza L W L W L D

STRENGTH

EXPECTED GOALS

WINS THE GAME

What do these metrics mean?

Strength: Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion: Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target: Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession: Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate: Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential: Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential: Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals: Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head: Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game: Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Sep 27, 23	Home	FK Neftekhimik	0 - 3	Loss
Sep 13, 23	Away	Druzhba	1 - 1	Draw
Aug 23, 23	Home	Chayka	2 - 1	Win
Jul 6, 23	Home	Kuban Kholding	1 - 0	Win
Sep 14, 22	Home	Kuban Kholding	0 - 3	Loss
Aug 31, 22	Away	Forte Taganrog	1 - 2	Win

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Sep 10, 25	Home	Volgar Astrakhan	0 - 1	Loss
Aug 20, 25	Home	Strogino	1 - 0	Win
Sep 5, 24	Away	Kompozit	3 - 0	Loss
Aug 21, 24	Away	Metallurg Lipetsk	1 - 2	Win
Jul 2, 24	Away	Enisey	3 - 0	Loss
Aug 23, 23	Away	Khimik Vurnary	1 - 1	Draw

This prediction suggests that there is a 50.79% likelihood that only one team is likely to score throughout the entire match.

This prediction indicates that SKA Rostov has a 47.2% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 28.08 %

This prediction indicates that there is a 54.92% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than two goals scored.

This prediction indicates that there is a 57.46% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.

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