First League
Match Analysis
Slavia Sofia
Levski Sofia
Slavia Sofia
W
D
L
D
W
W
Levski Sofia
D
W
W
W
W
D
What do these metrics mean?
- Strength
- Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
- Shot Conversion
- Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Shots on Target
- Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Possession
- Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
- Save Rate
- Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
- Attacking Potential
- Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
- Defensive Potential
- Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
- Expected Goals
- Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
- Head to Head
- Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
- Wins the Game
- Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.
Why this prediction? AI insight
Historically, Levski Sofia has generally had the upper hand in matches against Slavia Sofia, often keeping the games tight with few goals. The model predicts an away win for Levski Sofia with a 67% probability, reflecting their clear quality gap and stronger recent form compared to Slavia Sofia. The market odds also favor Levski Sofia, though they suggest slightly less confidence than the model's prediction. The model sees a moderate chance that both teams will score and that there will be more than one goal overall, but expects fewer than three goals in total.
Head to Head History
| Home Team | Away Team | Score | Date |
|---|---|---|---|
| Slavia Sofia | Levski Sofia | 2 - 0 | December 4, 2025 |
| Levski Sofia | Slavia Sofia | 2 - 0 | August 3, 2025 |
| Levski Sofia | Slavia Sofia | 3 - 3 | March 9, 2025 |
| Slavia Sofia | Levski Sofia | 0 - 1 | September 22, 2024 |
| Levski Sofia | Slavia Sofia | 2 - 0 | March 29, 2024 |
| Slavia Sofia | Levski Sofia | 0 - 2 | September 27, 2023 |
Slavia Sofia Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 10, 26 | Away | Botev Vratsa | 0 - 3 | Win |
| Jul 31, 26 | Home | Lokomotiv Sofia | 1 - 1 | Draw |
| Jul 24, 26 | Away | Arda Kardzhali | 1 - 0 | Loss |
| Jul 20, 26 | Home | CSKA Sofia | 0 - 0 | Draw |
| Jul 11, 26 | Home | Montana | 7 - 2 | Win |
| Jul 8, 26 | Home | Slatina | 3 - 2 | Win |
Levski Sofia Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 18, 26 | Home | AEK Athens FC | 0 - 0 | Draw |
| Aug 11, 26 | Away | Kairat Almaty | 0 - 1 | Win |
| Aug 7, 26 | Home | Lokomotiv Plovdiv | 2 - 0 | Win |
| Aug 4, 26 | Home | Kairat Almaty | 1 - 0 | Win |
| Aug 1, 26 | Home | Septemvri Sofia | 3 - 0 | Win |
| Jul 29, 26 | Away | CS Universitatea Craiova | 2 - 2 | Draw |
First League Table
| Pos | Team | MP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Levski Sofia | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 2 | +7 | 12 |
| 8 | Slavia Sofia | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 2 | +2 | 5 |
Predictions
Levski Sofia to win
This prediction indicates that Levski Sofia has a 66.61% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 19.02 %Over 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 56.33% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be two or more goals scored.Under 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 53.12% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.Most Likely Scorelines
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