1st League - FBiH
Match Analysis
Sloboda Tuzla
Tomislav
Sloboda Tuzla
D
L
W
W
W
W
Tomislav
L
W
L
W
D
W
What do these metrics mean?
- Strength
- Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
- Shot Conversion
- Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Shots on Target
- Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Possession
- Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
- Save Rate
- Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
- Attacking Potential
- Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
- Defensive Potential
- Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
- Expected Goals
- Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
- Head to Head
- Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
- Wins the Game
- Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.
Why this prediction? AI insight
The model predicts a home win for Sloboda Tuzla with a 44% probability. Sloboda Tuzla's strong recent form gives them an edge, even though the teams are closely matched in overall quality and have similar rest before the match. The market odds are not available for direct comparison, but the model's confidence in a home win is moderate. Additionally, the model sees a 49% chance that both teams will score, and a slight 51% chance that more than 1.5 goals will be scored, indicating an expectation of a game with a few goals but not necessarily a high-scoring one.
Head to Head History
| Home Team | Away Team | Score | Date |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sloboda Tuzla | Tomislav | 3 - 1 | April 18, 2026 |
| Tomislav | Sloboda Tuzla | 2 - 1 | September 27, 2025 |
Sloboda Tuzla Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 16, 26 | Away | Vitez | 0 - 0 | Draw |
| Aug 8, 26 | Home | Bratstvo Gračanica | 0 - 1 | Loss |
| Aug 1, 26 | Away | Zeljeznicar Sarajevo | 0 - 3 | Win |
| Jul 25, 26 | Home | Zvijezda 09 | 6 - 0 | Win |
| Jun 7, 26 | Home | TOŠK Tešanj | 2 - 0 | Win |
| May 30, 26 | Away | Vitez | 1 - 2 | Win |
Tomislav Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 16, 26 | Home | GOŠK Gabela | 0 - 3 | Loss |
| Aug 7, 26 | Home | Posušje | 3 - 1 | Win |
| Aug 1, 26 | Away | Siroki Brijeg | 3 - 0 | Loss |
| Jun 7, 26 | Home | Tuzla City | 4 - 0 | Win |
| May 30, 26 | Away | TOŠK Tešanj | 3 - 3 | Draw |
| May 24, 26 | Home | Vitez | 3 - 0 | Win |
1st League - FBiH Table
| Pos | Team | MP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Sloboda Tuzla | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 15 | Tomislav | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | -3 | 0 |
Predictions
Correct Prediction! ✅
Both Teams To Score - No
This prediction suggests that there is a 50.92% likelihood that only one team is likely to score throughout the entire match.Correct Prediction! ✅
Sloboda Tuzla to win
This prediction indicates that Sloboda Tuzla has a 43.69% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 28.98 %Under 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 54.36% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.Most Likely Scorelines
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