National League - South
Match Analysis
Slough Town
Ebbsfleet United
Slough Town
L
W
L
L
L
L
Ebbsfleet United
W
D
D
W
L
W
What do these metrics mean?
- Strength
- Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
- Shot Conversion
- Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Shots on Target
- Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Possession
- Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
- Save Rate
- Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
- Attacking Potential
- Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
- Defensive Potential
- Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
- Expected Goals
- Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
- Head to Head
- Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
- Wins the Game
- Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.
Why this prediction? AI insight
The model predicts an away win for Ebbsfleet United with a 60% probability, suggesting they are the stronger side based on a clear quality gap in their favor. The market odds also reflect this favoritism, showing lower odds for an away win. Additionally, the model sees a good chance of over 1.5 goals (56%), aligning with the market’s strong bias toward this outcome, and also expects both teams to score (57%) and over 2.5 goals (58%), which is somewhat more confident than what the current market odds imply.
Head to Head History
| Home Team | Away Team | Score | Date |
|---|---|---|---|
| Ebbsfleet United | Slough Town | 2 - 1 | March 28, 2026 |
| Slough Town | Ebbsfleet United | 2 - 0 | August 23, 2025 |
| Slough Town | Ebbsfleet United | 2 - 0 | October 17, 2023 |
| Ebbsfleet United | Slough Town | 2 - 2 | October 14, 2023 |
| Slough Town | Ebbsfleet United | 0 - 1 | March 25, 2023 |
| Ebbsfleet United | Slough Town | 2 - 0 | December 3, 2022 |
Slough Town Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 19, 26 | Home | Chatham Town | 0 - 1 | Loss |
| Sep 12, 26 | Away | AFC Totton | 0 - 1 | Win |
| Sep 8, 26 | Away | Salisbury | 5 - 1 | Loss |
| Sep 5, 26 | Home | Braintree | 1 - 2 | Loss |
| Aug 31, 26 | Away | Dagenham & Redbridge | 1 - 0 | Loss |
| Aug 29, 26 | Home | Folkestone Invicta | 0 - 2 | Loss |
Ebbsfleet United Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 19, 26 | Away | Maidenhead | 1 - 3 | Win |
| Sep 12, 26 | Home | Salisbury | 1 - 1 | Draw |
| Sep 8, 26 | Home | Hemel Hempstead Town | 0 - 0 | Draw |
| Sep 5, 26 | Away | Walton & Hersham | 0 - 2 | Win |
| Jul 31, 26 | Home | Gillingham | 1 - 2 | Loss |
| Jul 28, 26 | Away | Cray Valley PM | 2 - 3 | Win |
National League - South Table
| Pos | Team | MP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 | Ebbsfleet United | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 1 | +2 | 5 |
| 23 | Slough Town | 8 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 9 | 21 | -12 | 3 |
Predictions
Both Teams To Score - Yes
This prediction indicates that there is a 52.42% likelihood that both Slough Town and Ebbsfleet United will score at least one goal each during the course of the match.Ebbsfleet United to win
This prediction indicates that Ebbsfleet United has a 55.36% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 24.90 %Over 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 57.4% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be two or more goals scored.Over 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 56.33% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be three or more goals scored.Most Likely Scorelines
Subscribe to unlock scoreline predictions
View plans
Top Picks
Subscribe to unlock top picks
View plans
Odds Comparison
Subscribe to compare bookmaker odds
View plans
Comments