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Serie D logo

Serie D

June 14, 2026 2 weeks, 1 day ago
0 – 2
Full Time

Match Analysis

Sousa America-RN
Sousa L D L W W L
America-RN W D W D D L
STRENGTH
EXPECTED GOALS
HEAD TO HEAD
WINS THE GAME
What do these metrics mean?
Strength
Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion
Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target
Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession
Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate
Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential
Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential
Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals
Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head
Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game
Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Head to Head History

Home Team Away Team Score Date
America-RN Sousa 2 - 0 April 4, 2026
Sousa America-RN 1 - 0 June 11, 2025
America-RN Sousa 2 - 0 June 1, 2025
America-RN Sousa 1 - 0 June 27, 2024
Sousa America-RN 0 - 0 May 26, 2024
Sousa America-RN 1 - 2 July 16, 2022

Sousa Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Jun 1, 26 Away Maguary PE 2 - 0 Loss
May 23, 26 Home Central SC 0 - 0 Draw
May 16, 26 Away ABC 2 - 0 Loss
May 10, 26 Away Laguna 0 - 1 Win
May 3, 26 Home Laguna 1 - 0 Win
Apr 30, 26 Away CRB 3 - 0 Loss

America-RN Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
May 29, 26 Home Central SC 1 - 0 Win
May 24, 26 Away ABC 1 - 1 Draw
May 17, 26 Home Laguna 5 - 0 Win
May 10, 26 Away Maguary PE 0 - 0 Draw
May 3, 26 Home Maguary PE 0 - 0 Draw
Apr 30, 26 Away Retrô 2 - 1 Loss

Serie D Table

Pos Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
15 America-RN 9 5 3 1 12 3 +9 18
75 Sousa 9 3 1 5 4 9 -5 10

Predictions

Match Result (1X2) - Draw
This prediction indicates that the football match is poised to end in a draw.

Correct Prediction! ✅

Under 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 66.02% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.

Most Likely Scorelines

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