Sousense vs União Lamas Saturday 25th July 2026 12:30 PM football predictions.

Sousense União Lamas

Sousense L W L L

União Lamas D L L W L D

STRENGTH

EXPECTED GOALS

WINS THE GAME

What do these metrics mean?

Strength: Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion: Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target: Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession: Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate: Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential: Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential: Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals: Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head: Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game: Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Sep 24, 17	Away	Oleiros	3 - 0	Loss
Sep 3, 17	Home	Paredes	2 - 0	Win
Sep 25, 16	Away	Águeda	2 - 1	Loss
Sep 4, 16	Away	Valadares Gaia	2 - 0	Loss

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jul 22, 26	Home	Os Marialvas	0 - 0	Draw
Jul 18, 26	Home	São João Ver	0 - 1	Loss
Oct 19, 25	Home	Guimaraes	0 - 1	Loss
Sep 21, 25	Home	Atlético Malveira	2 - 1	Win
Sep 7, 24	Away	Lusitânia Lourosa	2 - 1	Loss
Sep 9, 23	Home	Paredes	2 - 2	Draw

This prediction suggests that there is a 53.99% likelihood that only one team is likely to score throughout the entire match.

Correct Prediction! ✅

This prediction indicates that Sousense has a 45.39% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 28.82 %

This prediction indicates that there is a 61.33% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.

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