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Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification

Sept. 23, 2026 2 weeks from now VS

Match Analysis

South Africa Guinea
South Africa L W D L D D
Guinea L L D D W D
STRENGTH
SHOT CONVERSION
SHOTS ON TARGET
POSSESSION
SAVE RATE
EXPECTED GOALS
WINS THE GAME
What do these metrics mean?
Strength
Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion
Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target
Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession
Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate
Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential
Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential
Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals
Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head
Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game
Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Head to Head History

Home Team Away Team Score Date
South Africa Guinea 2 - 1 August 11, 2025
South Africa Guinea 0 - 0 March 25, 2022

South Africa Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Jun 28, 26 Home Canada 0 - 1 Loss
Jun 25, 26 Home South Korea 1 - 0 Win
Jun 18, 26 Away Czech Republic 1 - 1 Draw
Jun 11, 26 Away Mexico 2 - 0 Loss
Jun 6, 26 Away Jamaica 1 - 1 Draw
May 29, 26 Home Nicaragua 0 - 0 Draw

Guinea Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Jun 4, 26 Away Northern Ireland 1 - 0 Loss
Mar 31, 26 Home Benin 0 - 1 Loss
Mar 27, 26 Home Togo 2 - 2 Draw
Nov 18, 25 Home Niger 1 - 1 Draw
Nov 15, 25 Home Liberia 2 - 0 Win
Oct 14, 25 Home Botswana 2 - 2 Draw

Predictions

Both Teams To Score - No
This prediction suggests that there is a 56.36% likelihood that only one team is likely to score throughout the entire match.
South Africa to win
This prediction indicates that South Africa has a 47.35% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 30.35 %
Under 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 61.16% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than two goals scored.
Under 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 63.6% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.

Most Likely Scorelines

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