South Melbourne vs Altona Magic Sunday 07th June 2026 08:30 AM football predictions.

Match Analysis

South Melbourne Altona Magic

South Melbourne D L L L L W

Altona Magic L L W L W D

STRENGTH

EXPECTED GOALS

WINS THE GAME

What do these metrics mean?

Strength: Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion: Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target: Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession: Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate: Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential: Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential: Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals: Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head: Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game: Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Head to Head History

Home Team	Away Team	Score	Date
Altona Magic	South Melbourne	1 - 2	February 28, 2026
South Melbourne	Altona Magic	2 - 0	July 19, 2025
Altona Magic	South Melbourne	0 - 0	April 5, 2025
South Melbourne	Altona Magic	4 - 0	June 21, 2024
Altona Magic	South Melbourne	1 - 4	March 16, 2024
Altona Magic	South Melbourne	1 - 4	July 29, 2023

South Melbourne Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
May 30, 26	Away	Hume City	1 - 1	Draw
May 25, 26	Home	Avondale	0 - 4	Loss
May 18, 26	Home	Sunshine Georgies	0 - 4	Loss
May 8, 26	Away	Heidelberg United	4 - 0	Loss
May 1, 26	Home	Melbourne City II	1 - 2	Loss
Apr 24, 26	Away	St. Albans Saints	0 - 4	Win

Altona Magic Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
May 30, 26	Home	Oakleigh Cannons	0 - 2	Loss
May 23, 26	Home	Hume City	1 - 3	Loss
May 16, 26	Home	Preston Lions	1 - 0	Win
May 9, 26	Away	Avondale	5 - 1	Loss
May 2, 26	Home	Dandenong City	1 - 0	Win
Apr 25, 26	Away	Sunshine Georgies	1 - 1	Draw

Victoria NPL Table

Pos	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
8	South Melbourne	15	7	1	7	20	26	-6	22
12	Altona Magic	15	3	4	8	16	28	-12	13

Predictions

Correct Prediction! ✅

Both Teams To Score - Yes

This prediction indicates that there is a 50.74% likelihood that both South Melbourne and Altona Magic will score at least one goal each during the course of the match.

South Melbourne to win or Draw

This prediction indicates that South Melbourne has a 41.35% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 33.41 %

Correct Prediction! ✅

Over 1.5 goals

This prediction indicates that there is a 62.25% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be two or more goals scored.

Correct Prediction! ✅

Over 2.5 goals

This prediction indicates that there is a 51.7% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be three or more goals scored.

Most Likely Scorelines

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Sure Tips

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