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Victoria NPL logo

Victoria NPL

June 7, 2026 3 weeks, 1 day ago
2 – 3
Full Time

Match Analysis

South Melbourne Altona Magic
South Melbourne D L L L L W
Altona Magic L L W L W D
STRENGTH
EXPECTED GOALS
WINS THE GAME
What do these metrics mean?
Strength
Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion
Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target
Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession
Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate
Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential
Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential
Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals
Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head
Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game
Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Head to Head History

Home Team Away Team Score Date
Altona Magic South Melbourne 1 - 2 February 28, 2026
South Melbourne Altona Magic 2 - 0 July 19, 2025
Altona Magic South Melbourne 0 - 0 April 5, 2025
South Melbourne Altona Magic 4 - 0 June 21, 2024
Altona Magic South Melbourne 1 - 4 March 16, 2024
Altona Magic South Melbourne 1 - 4 July 29, 2023

South Melbourne Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
May 30, 26 Away Hume City 1 - 1 Draw
May 25, 26 Home Avondale 0 - 4 Loss
May 18, 26 Home Sunshine Georgies 0 - 4 Loss
May 8, 26 Away Heidelberg United 4 - 0 Loss
May 1, 26 Home Melbourne City II 1 - 2 Loss
Apr 24, 26 Away St. Albans Saints 0 - 4 Win

Altona Magic Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
May 30, 26 Home Oakleigh Cannons 0 - 2 Loss
May 23, 26 Home Hume City 1 - 3 Loss
May 16, 26 Home Preston Lions 1 - 0 Win
May 9, 26 Away Avondale 5 - 1 Loss
May 2, 26 Home Dandenong City 1 - 0 Win
Apr 25, 26 Away Sunshine Georgies 1 - 1 Draw

Victoria NPL Table

Pos Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
8 South Melbourne 15 7 1 7 20 26 -6 22
12 Altona Magic 15 3 4 8 16 28 -12 13

Predictions

Correct Prediction! ✅

Both Teams To Score - Yes
This prediction indicates that there is a 50.74% likelihood that both South Melbourne and Altona Magic will score at least one goal each during the course of the match.
South Melbourne to win or Draw
This prediction indicates that South Melbourne has a 41.35% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 33.41 %

Correct Prediction! ✅

Over 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 62.25% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be two or more goals scored.

Correct Prediction! ✅

Over 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 51.7% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be three or more goals scored.

Most Likely Scorelines

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Sure Tips
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