South Melbourne vs St. Albans Saints Sunday 02nd August 2026 08:30 AM football predictions.

Match Analysis

South Melbourne St. Albans Saints

South Melbourne D W W L W L

St. Albans Saints D D D L W D

STRENGTH

EXPECTED GOALS

HEAD TO HEAD

WINS THE GAME

What do these metrics mean?

Strength: Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion: Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target: Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession: Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate: Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential: Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential: Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals: Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head: Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game: Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Head to Head History

Home Team	Away Team	Score	Date
St. Albans Saints	South Melbourne	0 - 4	April 24, 2026
St. Albans Saints	South Melbourne	2 - 2	June 6, 2025
South Melbourne	St. Albans Saints	0 - 3	March 3, 2025
South Melbourne	St. Albans Saints	2 - 1	August 18, 2024
St. Albans Saints	South Melbourne	1 - 4	May 12, 2024
South Melbourne	St. Albans Saints	4 - 0	June 20, 2023

South Melbourne Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jul 18, 26	Home	Preston Lions	0 - 0	Draw
Jul 10, 26	Away	Dandenong City	0 - 2	Win
Jul 5, 26	Home	Dandenong Thunder	1 - 0	Win
Jun 28, 26	Home	Green Gully	1 - 2	Loss
Jun 19, 26	Away	Bentleigh Greens	1 - 5	Win
Jun 7, 26	Home	Altona Magic	2 - 3	Loss

St. Albans Saints Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jul 18, 26	Away	Avondale	1 - 1	Draw
Jul 12, 26	Home	Sunshine Georgies	2 - 2	Draw
Jul 3, 26	Away	Heidelberg United	1 - 1	Draw
Jun 26, 26	Home	Melbourne City II	0 - 2	Loss
Jun 21, 26	Home	Altona Magic	2 - 1	Win
Jun 5, 26	Away	Oakleigh Cannons	2 - 2	Draw

Victoria NPL Table

Pos	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
6	South Melbourne	20	10	1	9	31	32	-1	31
10	St. Albans Saints	20	6	5	9	23	36	-13	23

Predictions

Both Teams To Score - Yes

This prediction indicates that there is a 57.14% likelihood that both South Melbourne and St. Albans Saints will score at least one goal each during the course of the match.

South Melbourne to win

This prediction indicates that South Melbourne has a 58.06% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 20.98 %

Over 1.5 goals

This prediction indicates that there is a 54.29% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be two or more goals scored.

Over 2.5 goals

This prediction indicates that there is a 56.91% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be three or more goals scored.

Most Likely Scorelines

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