South Shields vs Chorley Saturday 15th August 2026 05:00 PM football predictions.

Match Analysis

South Shields Chorley

South Shields W L D L W L

Chorley L L D L L W

STRENGTH

EXPECTED GOALS

HEAD TO HEAD

WINS THE GAME

What do these metrics mean?

Strength: Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion: Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target: Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession: Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate: Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential: Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential: Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals: Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head: Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game: Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Head to Head History

Home Team	Away Team	Score	Date
Chorley	South Shields	1 - 1	March 10, 2026
South Shields	Chorley	2 - 0	October 4, 2025
South Shields	Chorley	4 - 1	September 27, 2025
Chorley	South Shields	2 - 1	February 15, 2025
South Shields	Chorley	3 - 3	September 21, 2024
South Shields	Chorley	2 - 1	March 12, 2024

South Shields Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jul 28, 26	Away	Gateshead	1 - 4	Win
Jul 21, 26	Home	Harrogate Town	1 - 2	Loss
Jul 18, 26	Home	Sunderland U21	1 - 1	Draw
May 9, 26	Home	Kidderminster Harriers	0 - 2	Loss
May 2, 26	Home	Buxton	1 - 0	Win
Apr 25, 26	Away	Kidderminster Harriers	1 - 0	Loss

Chorley Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jul 28, 26	Away	Trafford	2 - 1	Loss
Jul 25, 26	Home	Accrington ST	0 - 3	Loss
Jul 21, 26	Home	Altrincham	0 - 0	Draw
Jul 11, 26	Home	Bury	1 - 2	Loss
Jul 4, 26	Away	Bamber Bridge	1 - 0	Loss
Apr 25, 26	Home	Worksop Town	2 - 1	Win

National League - North Table

Pos	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
None	Chorley	None	None	None	None	None	None	None	None
None	South Shields	None	None	None	None	None	None	None	None

Predictions

Both Teams To Score - Yes

This prediction indicates that there is a 56.21% likelihood that both South Shields and Chorley will score at least one goal each during the course of the match.

South Shields to win

This prediction indicates that South Shields has a 62.14% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 20.50 %

Over 1.5 goals

This prediction indicates that there is a 53.67% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be two or more goals scored.

Over 2.5 goals

This prediction indicates that there is a 61.0% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be three or more goals scored.

Most Likely Scorelines

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