Championship
Match Analysis
Southampton
Stoke City
Southampton
W
W
W
D
D
W
Stoke City
D
W
W
D
L
L
What do these metrics mean?
- Strength
- Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
- Shot Conversion
- Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Shots on Target
- Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Possession
- Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
- Save Rate
- Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
- Attacking Potential
- Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
- Defensive Potential
- Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
- Expected Goals
- Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
- Head to Head
- Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
- Wins the Game
- Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.
Head to Head History
| Home Team | Away Team | Score | Date |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stoke City | Southampton | 0 - 2 | January 31, 2026 |
| Southampton | Stoke City | 1 - 2 | August 23, 2025 |
| Southampton | Stoke City | 3 - 2 | October 29, 2024 |
| Southampton | Stoke City | 0 - 1 | April 27, 2024 |
| Stoke City | Southampton | 0 - 1 | October 3, 2023 |
| Southampton | Stoke City | 0 - 0 | March 3, 2018 |
Southampton Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 1, 26 | Away | Preußen Münster | 1 - 2 | Win |
| Jul 24, 26 | Away | Eintracht Braunschweig | 0 - 1 | Win |
| Jul 18, 26 | Away | Eastleigh | 1 - 3 | Win |
| May 12, 26 | Home | Middlesbrough | 1 - 1 | Draw |
| May 9, 26 | Away | Middlesbrough | 0 - 0 | Draw |
| May 2, 26 | Away | Preston | 1 - 3 | Win |
Stoke City Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 1, 26 | Home | Valencia | 1 - 1 | Draw |
| Jul 28, 26 | Home | Everton | 1 - 0 | Win |
| Jul 21, 26 | Away | Chester | 0 - 1 | Win |
| Jul 18, 26 | Away | Crewe | 1 - 1 | Draw |
| Jul 10, 26 | Home | SC Braga | 0 - 1 | Loss |
| May 2, 26 | Away | Bristol City | 2 - 0 | Loss |
Championship Table
| Pos | Team | MP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| None | Stoke City | None | None | None | None | None | None | None | None |
| None | Southampton | None | None | None | None | None | None | None | None |
Predictions
Southampton to win
This prediction indicates that Southampton has a 66.27% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 19.21 %Under 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 50.93% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than two goals scored.Under 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 52.8% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.Most Likely Scorelines
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