Championship
Match Analysis
Southampton
Swansea
Southampton
W
L
W
W
W
W
Swansea
D
W
L
W
L
W
What do these metrics mean?
- Strength
- Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
- Shot Conversion
- Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Shots on Target
- Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Possession
- Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
- Save Rate
- Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
- Attacking Potential
- Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
- Defensive Potential
- Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
- Expected Goals
- Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
- Head to Head
- Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
- Wins the Game
- Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.
Head to Head History
| Home Team | Away Team | Score | Date |
|---|---|---|---|
| Swansea | Southampton | 1 - 2 | April 18, 2026 |
| Southampton | Swansea | 0 - 0 | October 18, 2025 |
| Southampton | Swansea | 3 - 0 | January 12, 2025 |
| Swansea | Southampton | 1 - 3 | January 20, 2024 |
| Southampton | Swansea | 5 - 0 | December 26, 2023 |
| Swansea | Southampton | 1 - 1 | January 8, 2022 |
Southampton Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 26 | Home | Stoke City | 3 - 1 | Win |
| Aug 16, 26 | Away | Watford | 2 - 1 | Loss |
| Aug 8, 26 | Away | Colchester | 0 - 2 | Win |
| Aug 1, 26 | Away | Preußen Münster | 1 - 2 | Win |
| Jul 24, 26 | Away | Eintracht Braunschweig | 0 - 1 | Win |
| Jul 18, 26 | Away | Eastleigh | 1 - 3 | Win |
Swansea Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 26 | Home | Sheffield Utd | 0 - 0 | Draw |
| Aug 15, 26 | Away | Stoke City | 1 - 2 | Win |
| Aug 8, 26 | Home | Birmingham | 0 - 1 | Loss |
| Aug 1, 26 | Home | Leganes | 1 - 0 | Win |
| Jul 28, 26 | Away | Merthyr Town | 3 - 0 | Loss |
| Jul 24, 26 | Home | Udinese | 2 - 0 | Win |
Championship Table
| Pos | Team | MP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Swansea | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | +1 | 4 |
| 9 | Southampton | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 3 | +1 | 3 |
Predictions
Both Teams To Score - Yes
This prediction indicates that there is a 50.35% likelihood that both Southampton and Swansea will score at least one goal each during the course of the match.Southampton to win
This prediction indicates that Southampton has a 58.74% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 23.00 %Over 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 55.8% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be two or more goals scored.Over 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 53.19% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be three or more goals scored.Most Likely Scorelines
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