Southend vs Scunthorpe Saturday 15th August 2026 05:00 PM football predictions.

Match Analysis

Southend Scunthorpe

Southend D L D L L W

Scunthorpe D W L D W W

STRENGTH

EXPECTED GOALS

HEAD TO HEAD

WINS THE GAME

What do these metrics mean?

Strength: Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion: Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target: Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession: Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate: Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential: Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential: Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals: Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head: Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game: Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Head to Head History

Home Team	Away Team	Score	Date
Scunthorpe	Southend	1 - 0	April 28, 2026
Scunthorpe	Southend	1 - 0	February 7, 2026
Southend	Scunthorpe	0 - 2	September 27, 2025
Scunthorpe	Southend	1 - 3	April 22, 2023
Southend	Scunthorpe	3 - 0	October 22, 2022
Scunthorpe	Southend	1 - 1	March 20, 2021

Southend Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jul 25, 26	Home	Leyton Orient	1 - 1	Draw
Jul 22, 26	Home	Northampton	1 - 3	Loss
Jul 18, 26	Home	West Ham	1 - 1	Draw
Jul 14, 26	Home	Cambridge United	1 - 2	Loss
Apr 28, 26	Away	Scunthorpe	1 - 0	Loss
Apr 25, 26	Home	Wealdstone	2 - 1	Win

Scunthorpe Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jul 31, 26	Home	Chesterfield	1 - 1	Draw
Jul 28, 26	Away	North Ferriby	3 - 6	Win
Jul 21, 26	Away	Buxton	2 - 0	Loss
Jul 18, 26	Away	Spalding United	2 - 2	Draw
Jul 15, 26	Away	Skegness Town	0 - 1	Win
Jul 7, 26	Away	Brigg Town	1 - 7	Win

National League Table

Pos	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
None	Scunthorpe	None	None	None	None	None	None	None	None
None	Southend	None	None	None	None	None	None	None	None

Predictions

Both Teams To Score - Yes

This prediction indicates that there is a 54.78% likelihood that both Southend and Scunthorpe will score at least one goal each during the course of the match.

Southend to win

This prediction indicates that Southend has a 42.53% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 27.05 %

Over 1.5 goals

This prediction indicates that there is a 51.51% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be two or more goals scored.

Over 2.5 goals

This prediction indicates that there is a 51.52% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be three or more goals scored.

Most Likely Scorelines

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