Southport vs Buxton Saturday 15th August 2026 05:00 PM football predictions.

Southport Buxton

Southport D W W L W L

Buxton W W L L W W

STRENGTH

EXPECTED GOALS

HEAD TO HEAD

WINS THE GAME

What do these metrics mean?

Strength: Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion: Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target: Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession: Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate: Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential: Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential: Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals: Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head: Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game: Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Home Team	Away Team	Score	Date
Southport	Buxton	0 - 0	February 17, 2026
Buxton	Southport	1 - 2	November 4, 2025
Buxton	Southport	2 - 1	February 1, 2025
Southport	Buxton	3 - 2	August 31, 2024
Southport	Buxton	2 - 2	March 23, 2024
Buxton	Southport	0 - 1	November 25, 2023

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jul 31, 26	Home	Wigan	0 - 0	Draw
Jul 25, 26	Away	Warrington Town	2 - 3	Win
Jul 24, 26	Home	United of Manchester	2 - 0	Win
Jul 18, 26	Home	Fleetwood Town	0 - 1	Loss
Apr 25, 26	Home	AFC Telford United	2 - 0	Win
Apr 21, 26	Away	Macclesfield	2 - 1	Loss

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jul 21, 26	Home	Scunthorpe	2 - 0	Win
Jul 10, 26	Home	Ashton United	1 - 0	Win
Jul 7, 26	Home	SC Braga	1 - 3	Loss
May 2, 26	Away	South Shields	1 - 0	Loss
Apr 28, 26	Home	Scarborough Athletic	4 - 2	Win
Apr 25, 26	Home	Leamington	4 - 1	Win

Pos	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
None	Buxton	None	None	None	None	None	None	None	None
None	Southport	None	None	None	None	None	None	None	None

This prediction indicates that Buxton has a 44.28% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 25.48 %

This prediction indicates that there is a 50.41% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than two goals scored.

This prediction indicates that there is a 50.9% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.

Subscribe to unlock scoreline predictions View plans

[[ comment.user.username ]]

This comment has been removed

[[ comment.user.username ]]

[[ comment.comment ]]

[[comment.humanizedSubmitDate]] [[comment.starsCount]] [[comment.starsCount]] [[comment.repliesCount]] Reply Reply