National League - North
Match Analysis
Southport
Hereford
Southport
D
L
D
W
W
L
Hereford
W
L
W
D
L
L
What do these metrics mean?
- Strength
- Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
- Shot Conversion
- Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Shots on Target
- Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Possession
- Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
- Save Rate
- Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
- Attacking Potential
- Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
- Defensive Potential
- Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
- Expected Goals
- Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
- Head to Head
- Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
- Wins the Game
- Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.
Head to Head History
| Home Team | Away Team | Score | Date |
|---|---|---|---|
| Southport | Hereford | 5 - 1 | February 14, 2026 |
| Hereford | Southport | 1 - 2 | November 8, 2025 |
| Hereford | Southport | 1 - 1 | January 18, 2025 |
| Southport | Hereford | 1 - 4 | August 24, 2024 |
| Southport | Hereford | 1 - 2 | February 24, 2024 |
| Hereford | Southport | 0 - 1 | September 2, 2023 |
Southport Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 15, 26 | Home | Buxton | 1 - 1 | Draw |
| Aug 8, 26 | Away | Hebburn Town | 3 - 1 | Loss |
| Jul 31, 26 | Home | Wigan | 0 - 0 | Draw |
| Jul 25, 26 | Away | Warrington Town | 2 - 3 | Win |
| Jul 24, 26 | Home | United of Manchester | 2 - 0 | Win |
| Jul 18, 26 | Home | Fleetwood Town | 0 - 1 | Loss |
Hereford Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 15, 26 | Home | Marine | 1 - 0 | Win |
| Aug 8, 26 | Away | Buxton | 2 - 1 | Loss |
| Aug 1, 26 | Away | Bromsgrove Sporting | 0 - 1 | Win |
| Jul 28, 26 | Home | Shrewsbury | 1 - 1 | Draw |
| Jul 25, 26 | Home | Solihull Moors | 0 - 3 | Loss |
| Jul 17, 26 | Away | Bishop's Cleeve | 2 - 0 | Loss |
National League - North Table
| Pos | Team | MP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | Hereford | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | -1 | 0 |
| 22 | Southport | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | -2 | 0 |
Predictions
Both Teams To Score - Yes
This prediction indicates that there is a 56.38% likelihood that both Southport and Hereford will score at least one goal each during the course of the match.Southport to win
This prediction indicates that Southport has a 45.93% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 26.54 %Over 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 50.92% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be two or more goals scored.Over 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 53.78% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be three or more goals scored.Most Likely Scorelines
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