Spaeri vs Rustavi Wednesday 09th September 2026 06:00 PM football predictions.

Erovnuli Liga

Sept. 9, 2026 2 weeks from now VS

Spaeri Rustavi

Spaeri L D L L L D

Rustavi W W W L W W

STRENGTH

EXPECTED GOALS

WINS THE GAME

What do these metrics mean?

Strength: Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion: Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target: Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession: Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate: Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential: Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential: Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals: Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head: Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game: Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Home Team	Away Team	Score	Date
Rustavi	Spaeri	2 - 1	May 29, 2026
Spaeri	Rustavi	1 - 1	April 18, 2026
Rustavi	Spaeri	2 - 2	January 29, 2026

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Aug 22, 26	Home	Samgurali	3 - 4	Loss
Aug 17, 26	Away	Gagra	1 - 1	Draw
Aug 9, 26	Home	Dinamo Tbilisi	1 - 2	Loss
Jul 20, 26	Home	Samgurali	0 - 1	Loss
Jul 17, 26	Home	FC Urartu	2 - 3	Loss
Jun 22, 26	Away	Torpedo Kutaisi	0 - 0	Draw

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Aug 22, 26	Home	Gagra	3 - 0	Win
Aug 15, 26	Away	Dinamo Tbilisi	0 - 3	Win
Aug 7, 26	Home	Torpedo Kutaisi	1 - 0	Win
Jun 22, 26	Away	Dila	3 - 0	Loss
Jun 17, 26	Away	Saburtalo	1 - 2	Win
Jun 13, 26	Home	Meshakhte	1 - 0	Win

Pos	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Rustavi	21	11	5	5	26	18	+8	38
9	Spaeri	21	5	8	8	27	28	-1	23

This prediction indicates that Rustavi has a 41.26% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 27.96 %

This prediction indicates that there is a 52.23% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than two goals scored.

This prediction indicates that there is a 52.8% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.

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