UEFA Nations League
Match Analysis
Spain
Croatia
Spain
D
W
W
W
W
W
Croatia
L
W
W
L
W
L
What do these metrics mean?
- Strength
- Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
- Shot Conversion
- Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Shots on Target
- Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Possession
- Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
- Save Rate
- Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
- Attacking Potential
- Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
- Defensive Potential
- Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
- Expected Goals
- Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
- Head to Head
- Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
- Wins the Game
- Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.
Head to Head History
| Home Team | Away Team | Score | Date |
|---|---|---|---|
| Spain | Croatia | 3 - 0 | June 15, 2024 |
| Croatia | Spain | 0 - 0 | June 18, 2023 |
| Croatia | Spain | 3 - 3 | June 28, 2021 |
| Croatia | Spain | 3 - 2 | November 15, 2018 |
| Spain | Croatia | 6 - 0 | September 11, 2018 |
| Croatia | Spain | 2 - 1 | June 21, 2016 |
Spain Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 19, 26 | Home | Argentina | 0 - 0 | Draw |
| Jul 14, 26 | Away | France | 0 - 2 | Win |
| Jul 10, 26 | Home | Belgium | 2 - 1 | Win |
| Jul 6, 26 | Away | Portugal | 0 - 1 | Win |
| Jul 2, 26 | Home | Austria | 3 - 0 | Win |
| Jun 27, 26 | Away | Uruguay | 0 - 1 | Win |
Croatia Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 2, 26 | Away | Portugal | 2 - 1 | Loss |
| Jun 27, 26 | Home | Ghana | 2 - 1 | Win |
| Jun 23, 26 | Away | Panama | 0 - 1 | Win |
| Jun 17, 26 | Away | England | 4 - 2 | Loss |
| Jun 7, 26 | Home | Slovenia | 2 - 1 | Win |
| Jun 2, 26 | Home | Belgium | 0 - 2 | Loss |
Predictions
Both Teams To Score - No
This prediction suggests that there is a 50.75% likelihood that only one team is likely to score throughout the entire match.Spain to win
This prediction indicates that Spain has a 63.35% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 19.41 %Most Likely Scorelines
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