Spain vs Czech Republic Saturday 03rd October 2026 09:45 PM football predictions.

UEFA Nations League

Oct. 3, 2026 2 weeks from now VS

Spain Czech Republic

Spain D W W W W W

Czech Republic L D L L W D

STRENGTH

SHOT CONVERSION

SHOTS ON TARGET

POSSESSION

SAVE RATE

ATTACKING POTENTIAL

DEFENSIVE POTENTIAL

EXPECTED GOALS

WINS THE GAME

What do these metrics mean?

Strength: Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion: Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target: Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession: Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate: Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential: Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential: Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals: Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head: Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game: Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Home Team	Away Team	Score	Date
Spain	Czech Republic	2 - 0	June 12, 2022
Czech Republic	Spain	2 - 2	June 5, 2022
Spain	Czech Republic	1 - 0	June 13, 2016

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jul 19, 26	Home	Argentina	0 - 0	Draw
Jul 14, 26	Away	France	0 - 2	Win
Jul 10, 26	Home	Belgium	2 - 1	Win
Jul 6, 26	Away	Portugal	0 - 1	Win
Jul 2, 26	Home	Austria	3 - 0	Win
Jun 27, 26	Away	Uruguay	0 - 1	Win

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jun 25, 26	Home	Mexico	0 - 3	Loss
Jun 18, 26	Home	South Africa	1 - 1	Draw
Jun 12, 26	Away	South Korea	2 - 1	Loss
Jun 5, 26	Away	Guatemala	3 - 1	Loss
May 31, 26	Home	Kosovo	2 - 1	Win
Mar 26, 26	Home	Rep. Of Ireland	2 - 2	Draw

This prediction suggests that there is a 53.98% likelihood that only one team is likely to score throughout the entire match.

This prediction indicates that Spain has a 71.23% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 15.95 %

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